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Mammoth at Golden Knights
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
4
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
Final/2OTTV TNT, truTV·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Utah Mammoth 5-4 in double overtime, Brett Howden scoring at 5:28. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Dorofeyev's goal at 19:07 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 3% to 52%. Expected goals were close — UTA 3.7, VGK 3.5; shots on goal were UTA 38, VGK 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 1.4 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 34 of 38 (.895). Three stars: 1. Brett Howden (1 G), 2. Pavel Dorofeyev (3 G), 3. Shea Theodore (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    B. Howden1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    P. Dorofeyev3 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
UTAUTA171921001002438
VGKVGK1729190815538

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    J. Marino(1)
    C. Keller (3), N. Schmaltz (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:11
  2. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(2)PPG
    T. Hertl (2), J. Eichel (6)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:19

2nd period

  1. UTA
    L. Crouse(3)
    C. Keller (4), M. Sergachev (4)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:40
  2. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(3)
    S. Theodore (1), I. Barbashev (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:37
  3. VGK
    S. Theodore(2)
    M. Stone (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:17

3rd period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(3)
    K. Yamamoto (4), M. Weegar (2)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-3
    5:54
  2. UTA
    M. Carcone(2)
    A. Kerfoot (1)
    slapxG 0.24win prob +36 ptsVideo
    4-3
    12:42
  3. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(4)
    R. Smith (2), J. Eichel (7)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:07

2OT overtime

  1. VGK
    B. Howden(3)SHG
    M. Marner (4)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +48 ptsVideo
    4-5
    5:28

Penalties

UTA 12 PIM·VGK 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:22VGKJack Eichel · Trippingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 7:43UTANick Schmaltz · Interferencedrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 10:48UTALogan Cooley · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 18:45UTAMikhail Sergachev · Boardingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min

2nd

  • 6:37UTALogan Cooley · High stickingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 12:43VGKMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

3rd

  • 0:11VGKCole Smith · High sticking double minordrawn by Clayton Keller4 min

OT

  • 11:34UTADylan Guenther · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 13:42UTASean Durzi · Cross checkingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 13:42VGKIvan Barbashev · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

2OT

  • 3:42VGKReilly Smith · High stickingdrawn by John Marino2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalUTA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Dorofeyev, 3rd 19:07 — VGK 3% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.33P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.28J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.25J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.23T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.17M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.16P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.16B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.15R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.12J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.11M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.11P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.09S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.08S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.07S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.00B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 3.5 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsVGK
3.74 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.84 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.90 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 116 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA53%47%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.69 – 3.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsVGK
38
Shots on goal
38
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
12
44
Hits
42
16
Blocked shots
20
23
Giveaways
26
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011020.10052—37:35
8N. SchmaltzC011040.632223230:46
9C. KellerR022+240.40000—29:40
67L. CrouseL101010.2011005028:24
6J. MarinoD101020.08120—27:58
92L. CooleyC000060.593045727:37
11D. GuentherR101060.39102—27:34
52M. WeegarD011+210.02320—27:01
88N. SchmidtD000-100.00200—26:36
28I. ColeD000+110.07400—24:37
15A. KerfootC011+110.064105019:11
50S. DurziD000-120.03232—19:04
82K. StenlundC000-200.011007518:14
53M. CarconeL101020.51200—17:36
56K. YamamotoR011010.30300—17:06
77J. PeterkaR000000.01000—14:36
27B. HaytonC000-120.010104312:49
13B. TanevL000-130.32500—10:22
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)38335.8683.55-1.4585:28

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).