Skip to content
Panthers at Maple Leafs
NHL

Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸6
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anton Lundell's goal at 7:18 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were FLA 34, TOR 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Joseph Woll stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.2 goals below expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0831838634
TORTOR070518120

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Jones(3)
    E. Rodrigues (4), A. Barkov (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:15
  2. FLA
    A. Lundell(4)
    E. Luostarinen (8), B. Marchand (8)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:18
  3. FLA
    J. Gadjovich(2)
    A. Greer (1), S. Jones (3)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    9:39

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Domi(3)
    B. McMann (3)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:07
  2. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(3)
    B. Marchand (9)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:54
  3. FLA
    S. Reinhart(4)
    A. Barkov (7)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-1
    9:24
  4. FLA
    B. Marchand(3)EN
    E. Luostarinen (9)
    wristxG 0.62Video
    6-1
    16:57

Penalties

FLA 0 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:54TORserved by Pontus Holmberg · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalFLA goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Anton Lundell, 2nd 7:18 — FLA 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.23M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.23S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.19S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.11M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.11C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.09M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.09B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.03B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR1 G · 1.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTOR
3.45 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.75 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA67%33%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTOR
34
Shots on goal
20
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
2
48
Hits
47
19
Blocked shots
31
10
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD112+240.16120—23:42
5A. EkbladD000+340.09110—23:03
77N. MikkolaD000+200.02220—22:12
42G. ForslingD000+410.05000—21:20
23C. VerhaegheC000030.24200019:16
9S. BennettC000-120.297004019:13
19M. TkachukL000-100.08510—18:08
13S. ReinhartC101+210.274305018:07
16A. BarkovC022+210.051105517:57
17E. RodriguesC011+100.03020017:41
63B. MarchandL123+330.73000—16:02
88N. SchmidtD000010.02100—15:28
7D. KulikovD000-110.05620—14:14
27E. LuostarinenC123+340.61400013:38
15A. LundellC101+340.380406412:52
92T. NosekL000+120.054002909:55
12J. GadjovichL101+110.23310—08:47
10A. GreerL011+120.06700—08:25
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)20191.9501.86+0.8660:00

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).