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Maple Leafs at Panthers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
0
Florida Panthers
▸2
FinalTV TBS, truTV·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Verhaeghe's goal at 15:45 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 58% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were TOR 23, FLA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (23 saves, 1.000), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G), 3. Joseph Woll (35 saves, .946).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky23 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Woll35 saves, .946

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0408011023
FLAFLA11501418237

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(4)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (5), A. Barkov (5)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:45

3rd period

  1. FLA
    S. Bennett(5)
    A. Ekblad (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:09

Penalties

TOR 27 PIM·FLA 26 PIM

1st

  • 2:04TORMax Domi · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 9:19TORBobby McMann · Boardingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 13:38TORMatthew Knies · Hookingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 15:36TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 5:01FLAEetu Luostarinen · Holdingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 10:10FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 11:13TORMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 17:03FLAAnton Lundell · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

3rd

  • 4:51TOROliver Ekman-Larsson · Interferencedrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 20:00TORMax Domi · Boardingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov5 min
  • 20:00FLABrad Marchand · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00TORBobby McMann · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00FLAAaron Ekblad · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTOR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Carter Verhaeghe, 1st 15:45 — FLA 58% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.35C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.21S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.14S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.13E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.09A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.09S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.05G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.00A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 3.0 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsFLA
2.30 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.00 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR37%63%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsFLA
23
Shots on goal
37
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/3
Power play
1/6
27
Penalty minutes
26
47
Hits
40
18
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000010.07000—22:31
23M. KniesL000030.60612—22:25
16M. MarnerR000000.02342—22:10
88W. NylanderR000-140.1411010021:27
22J. McCabeD000-110.02310—20:31
34A. MatthewsC000030.414006320:10
91J. TavaresC000-150.683006720:04
8C. TanevD000-100.01030—18:00
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000000.00234—17:54
25B. CarloD000010.03200—16:36
2S. BenoitD000010.01810—14:18
67M. PaciorettyL000-100.00800—13:20
11M. DomiC000010.120076012:03
24S. LaughtonC000010.021006311:28
19C. JarnkrokC000000.00100010:58
74B. McMannC000000.042112010:43
18S. LorentzC000020.13130009:26
29P. HolmbergR000000.00200—08:36
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(L)37352.9463.03+1.0357:11

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).