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Panthers at Maple Leafs
NHL

Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸6
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
FinalTV ESPN, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Kulikov's goal at 6:08 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.4, TOR 2.3; shots on goal were FLA 32, TOR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Joseph Woll stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (31 saves, .969), 2. Jesper Boqvist (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Reinhart (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Boqvist1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA11331128632
TORTOR06014112132

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(2)
    S. Reinhart (6), J. Boqvist (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:38

2nd period

  1. FLA
    D. Kulikov(1)
    N. Schmidt (3), M. Tkachuk (6)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:08
  2. FLA
    J. Boqvist(1)
    S. Reinhart (7), G. Forsling (2)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    10:05
  3. FLA
    N. Mikkola(1)
    A. Lundell (6), E. Luostarinen (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    14:01

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Greer(1)
    J. Gadjovich (1), N. Schmidt (4)
    wristxG 0.31Video
    5-0
    6:23
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(6)PPG
    A. Ekblad (4), B. Marchand (7)
    wristxG 0.08Video
    6-0
    9:10
  3. TOR
    N. Robertson(1)
    M. Domi (3), S. Lorentz (2)
    backhandxG 0.11Video
    6-1
    18:54

Penalties

FLA 40 PIM·TOR 30 PIM

1st

  • 18:17FLAAnton Lundell · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

2nd

  • 10:17TORMax Domi · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 0:30FLANiko Mikkola · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
  • 2:14TORMax Domi · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 8:05TORJohn Tavares · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 13:19FLAEetu Luostarinen · Roughingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 13:19FLABrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 13:19TORMax Pacioretty · Roughingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 13:19FLATomas Nosek · Roughingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 13:19TORJake McCabe · Roughingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 13:19TORJohn Tavares · Roughingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 13:19FLABrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 13:19FLABrad Marchand · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:07TORScott Laughton · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 15:07FLANiko Mikkola · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 18:54TORMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 18:54FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 18:54TORMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 18:54FLAAaron Ekblad · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:54TORMax Domi · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00FLAA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min
  • 20:00TORSteven Lorentz · Roughingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 20:00FLAA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalFLA goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Dmitry Kulikov, 2nd 6:08 — FLA 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.19W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.17M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.16M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.14M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12N. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.11M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.10S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.08B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.05D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.04M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.00S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR1 G · 2.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTOR
2.46 G
All situations
1 G2.3
1.85 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA51%49%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTOR
32
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/4
Power play
0/3
40
Penalty minutes
30
54
Hits
49
9
Blocked shots
24
10
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000+130.06420—23:53
5A. EkbladD112+160.124012—21:21
88N. SchmidtD022+110.01100—19:48
7D. KulikovD101+220.03200—17:57
23C. VerhaegheC000+100.1220010017:28
13S. ReinhartC022+260.450102217:27
77N. MikkolaD101+110.06014—17:23
16A. BarkovC000+200.002007317:00
42G. ForslingD011+200.03000—16:54
15A. LundellC011010.152025016:52
27E. LuostarinenC011010.1351210015:59
70J. BoqvistC112+130.4080010015:15
19M. TkachukL011+220.10300—15:13
63B. MarchandL011010.192014—14:32
9S. BennettC101+120.225005013:15
92T. NosekL000+120.031225612:34
10A. GreerL101+110.31414—10:45
12J. GadjovichL011+100.00910—10:24
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)32311.9692.34+1.3460:00

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).