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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸5
Carolina Hurricanes
3
FinalTV TNT, truTV·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-3. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 15:41 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were NYR 24, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Frederik Andersen stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (3 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    C. Kreider3 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR03111410524
CARCAR18212016336

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(4)
    J. Martinook (2), D. Orlov (4)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:38

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(5)PPG
    S. Aho (8), A. Svechnikov (8)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:38
  2. NYR
    V. Trocheck(6)
    A. Panarin (6)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:29
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(4)
    A. Svechnikov (9), J. Slavin (2)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:23

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(5)
    M. Zibanejad (11), J. Roslovic (4)
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:43
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(6)PPG
    A. Panarin (7), V. Trocheck (8)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:54
  3. NYR
    C. Kreider(7)
    R. Lindgren (1), J. Roslovic (5)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +42 ptsVideo
    4-3
    15:41
  4. NYR
    B. Goodrow(3)EN
    K. Miller (2)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:11

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:04CARJordan Martinook · High stickingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 2:47NYRChris Kreider · Cross checkingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

3rd

  • 10:58CARJordan Staal · Cross checkingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 3rd 15:41 — NYR 48% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.29T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.21S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.19S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.19S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.18M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.18J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.13E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.00S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
3.44 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.21 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR51%49%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
36
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000+100.03120—23:43
16V. TrocheckC112+130.304006123:14
23A. FoxD000+120.11030—22:54
79K. MillerD011+200.07410—22:20
55R. LindgrenD011000.00310—20:51
10A. PanarinL022+140.34000—20:39
93M. ZibanejadC011+210.210004019:23
20C. KreiderL303+271.614125018:40
13A. LafrenièreL000+120.0540010018:11
96J. RoslovicC022+200.00000016:24
4B. SchneiderD000020.06410—14:44
56E. GustafssonD000010.05210—13:49
91A. WennbergC000000.012106312:37
50W. CuylleL000-100.00500—11:15
21B. GoodrowC101010.381002210:46
24K. KakkoR000-100.00200—10:01
26J. VeseyL000000.01010—09:53
22J. BrodzinskiC000-110.120105008:45
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)36333.9172.96-0.0460:00

Series

NYR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).