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Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
New York Rangers
▸4
FinalTV ESPN, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 2:48 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 8% to 23%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 25, NYR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.1 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (2 G, 1 A), 2. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A), 3. Chris Kreider (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    C. Kreider2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR1606213325
NYRNYR3701016423

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(2)
    J. Roslovic (3), A. Fox (3)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:46
  2. CAR
    J. Slavin(1)
    S. Aho (2), J. Guentzel (4)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:48
  3. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(3)PPG
    C. Kreider (2), V. Trocheck (4)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:05
  4. NYR
    V. Trocheck(4)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (7), C. Kreider (3)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:28

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(2)
    J. Martinook (1), D. Orlov (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:48
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(3)
    A. Lafrenière (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    8:21
  3. CAR
    S. Jarvis(4)
    S. Aho (3), B. Burns (2)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:13

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·NYR 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:14NYRChris Kreider · Boardingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 9:56CARTony DeAngelo · Roughingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 10:58NYRMatt Rempe · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Frederik Andersen2 min
  • 11:13NYRJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 11:13CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 16:14CAREvgeny Kuznetsov · Cross checkingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

2nd

  • 2:37NYRJacob Trouba · Cross checkingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 15:14NYRAdam Fox · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

3rd

  • 19:19NYRVincent Trocheck · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:25CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 3rd 2:48 — CAR 8% → 23%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.34K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.22M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.19M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.16V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.10W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.03A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 1.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
2.73 G
All situations
4 G1.8
1.33 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
1.40 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR66%34%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
25
Shots on goal
23
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/5
Power play
2/2
8
Penalty minutes
12
31
Hits
31
14
Blocked shots
28
9
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD011+220.04020—22:54
20S. AhoC022+210.513003321:29
59J. GuentzelC011+250.591406721:05
76B. SkjeiD000+110.04000—20:15
37A. SvechnikovR000+220.15304—19:37
7D. OrlovD011-110.10200—18:57
5J. ChatfieldD000-100.01110—18:31
24S. JarvisR101030.350004018:18
88M. NecasC101020.35100017:58
74J. SlavinD101+130.02110—17:53
86T. TeravainenC000-110.03010015:45
48J. MartinookL011000.045005013:57
77T. DeAngeloD000010.09212—13:43
18J. DruryC000000.021107813:23
92E. KuznetsovC000000.01202013:02
11J. StaalC000-130.286208012:51
23S. NoesenR000000.05200—11:22
82J. KotkaniemiC000000.0611010010:57
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)23194.8261.85-2.1557:05

Series

NYR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).