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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in overtime, Artemi Panarin scoring at 1:43. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 1:43 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYR 25, CAR 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 45 of 47 (.957), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (45 saves, .957), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin45 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR071111611325
CARCAR1170201901247

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:14

2nd period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:30

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.05win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:25
  2. CAR
    S. Aho (7), B. Skjei (7)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +47 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:24

Overtime

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +52 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:43

Penalties

NYR 16 PIM·CAR 14 PIM

1st

  • 2:00NYRserved by W. Cuylle · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 5:18CARAndrei Svechnikov · Embellishment2 min
  • 5:18NYRAlexander Wennberg · Holdingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 11:25CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 11:25NYRJimmy Vesey · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 11:25CARDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 11:25NYRBarclay Goodrow · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 13:14CARJake Guentzel · High stickingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min

2nd

  • 1:07CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 2:10NYRArtemi Panarin · Hookingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 4:26CARBrady Skjei · Interferencedrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 7:39NYRAdam Fox · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 10:57NYRJack Roslovic · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

3rd

  • 9:12CARTony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 11:38NYRBraden Schneider · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, OT 1:43 — NYR 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.17S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.13M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.09S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.09D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 3.3 xG · 69 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
2.83 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.10 G
Power play
0 G1.5
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 115 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR43%57%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
47
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/4
Power play
0/5
16
Penalty minutes
14
19
Hits
31
16
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000-100.00340—24:27
16V. TrocheckC022040.704204222:48
23A. FoxD000-100.00012—22:20
93M. ZibanejadC011+110.201102619:56
55R. LindgrenD000000.00120—19:26
20C. KreiderL101020.28100—19:08
56E. GustafssonD000000.02310—18:56
79K. MillerD000+200.00110—18:21
91A. WennbergC000010.030025016:59
10A. PanarinL112+140.41012—16:26
96J. RoslovicC000020.28112016:13
4B. SchneiderD000+220.12002—16:08
13A. LafrenièreL112+150.37100—12:28
21B. GoodrowC000010.030125012:17
72F. ChytilC000010.37100012:02
26J. VeseyL000-100.00102—11:21
24K. KakkoR000010.01010—10:51
50W. CuylleL000010.01100—06:52
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)47452.9573.26+1.2661:19

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).