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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV TNT, truTV·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 4-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Skjei's goal at 16:49 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 61% to 93%. Expected goals were close — NYR 3.0, CAR 3.0; shots on goal were NYR 25, CAR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.0 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Brady Skjei (1 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G), 3. Stefan Noesen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Skjei1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Noesen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1811215325
CARCAR31001318431

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    E. Kuznetsov(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:51
  2. CAR
    S. Noesen(4)
    T. Teravainen (3), T. DeAngelo (2)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:33
  3. NYR
    W. Cuylle(1)
    K. Kakko (1), E. Gustafsson (3)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:06
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(3)
    J. Guentzel (5), B. Burns (3)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:29

2nd period

  1. NYR
    B. Goodrow(2)
    B. Schneider (1), J. Vesey (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:43

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(4)
    M. Zibanejad (10), J. Trouba (3)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    2:04
  2. CAR
    B. Skjei(1)PPG
    T. Teravainen (4), A. Svechnikov (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-4
    16:49

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:30CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 6:06NYRMika Zibanejad · Holding the stickdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 19:46NYRVincent Trocheck · Roughingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 19:46CARBrent Burns · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

3rd

  • 16:17NYRRyan Lindgren · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Brady Skjei, 3rd 16:49 — CAR 61% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.22S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.20S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.06J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 3.0 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
3.03 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.83 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR51%49%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
28
17
Blocked shots
15
1
Giveaways
22
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000040.08100—24:27
79K. MillerD000+100.00400—20:31
93M. ZibanejadC011+110.251125020:08
4B. SchneiderD011+110.03140—19:11
55R. LindgrenD000010.17122—19:00
20C. KreiderL000+130.33100—18:53
16V. TrocheckC000-220.354025018:48
10A. PanarinL000-310.04010—18:09
56E. GustafssonD011-100.00310—17:42
13A. LafrenièreL101-130.61000—17:41
91A. WennbergC000+110.481304416:20
8J. TroubaD011-110.08210—16:09
96J. RoslovicC000020.23100015:29
24K. KakkoR011+110.17000—13:47
50W. CuylleL101+110.15310—12:09
21B. GoodrowC101020.041104011:18
26J. VeseyL011+110.02000—09:19
22J. BrodzinskiC000000.0002010008:49
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)31274.8713.01-0.9957:38

Series

NYR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).