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Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
New York Rangers
1
FinalTV ESPN, CBC·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 4-1. The Rangers scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeny Kuznetsov's goal at 6:39 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 28, NYR 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G), 2. Jordan Staal (1 G), 3. Jordan Martinook (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    E. Kuznetsov1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0909410428
NYRNYR091606121

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    J. Trouba(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:23

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(1)
    D. Orlov (3)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:33
  2. CAR
    E. Kuznetsov(4)
    B. Skjei (8), J. Kotkaniemi (1)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:39
  3. CAR
    J. Martinook(2)
    J. Drury (3), M. Necas (5)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    9:56
  4. CAR
    M. Necas(3)EN
    J. Chatfield (2), J. Drury (4)
    slapxG 0.41win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    16:29

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:05CAREvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min

2nd

  • 3:47CARDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 5:56NYRJack Roslovic · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 9:59NYRAdam Fox · Holdingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 19:50NYRWill Cuylle · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 10:27CARAndrei Svechnikov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Evgeny Kuznetsov, 3rd 6:39 — CAR 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.23K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.05B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01
NYR1 G · 1.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
3.03 G
All situations
1 G1.8
2.33 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR65%35%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
28
Shots on goal
21
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
32
19
Blocked shots
24
2
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000+100.01010—21:51
20S. AhoC000-120.081002121:26
5J. ChatfieldD011+200.14110—20:37
59J. GuentzelC000020.27110020:07
74J. SlavinD000+100.01130—19:40
7D. OrlovD011+200.00132—19:34
76B. SkjeiD011030.08110—18:46
86T. TeravainenC000020.14000018:02
37A. SvechnikovR000-100.15402—17:11
24S. JarvisR000020.19330—16:36
88M. NecasC112+220.44100015:56
11J. StaalC101+130.413304314:56
77T. DeAngeloD000+120.02110—14:07
92E. KuznetsovC101+120.361022012:37
48J. MartinookL101+230.310005012:00
23S. NoesenR000+100.00200—11:09
18J. DruryC022+230.292204310:28
82J. KotkaniemiC011+120.10000009:05
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)21201.9521.80+0.8059:52

Series

NYR leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).