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Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers

FinalFLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 7-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eetu Luostarinen's goal at 14:22 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were BOS 34, FLA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 3.0 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G, 1 A), 2. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Pastrnak (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS18111315534
FLAFLA212110411733

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:01
  2. BOS
    batxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    6:09
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:52

2nd period

  1. BOS
    between-legsxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    5:42
  2. FLA
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    9:22

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    1:31
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    4-3
    3:53
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.17win prob +29 pts
    4-4
    7:21
  4. BOS
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +35 pts
    5-4
    10:22
  5. FLA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +31 pts
    5-5
    10:49
  6. FLA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +37 pts
    5-6
    14:22
  7. FLA
    wristxG 0.47win prob +2 pts
    5-7
    19:32

Penalties

BOS 14 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:19BOSDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 0:19FLASam Bennett · Slashingdrawn by Linus Ullmark2 min
  • 1:09BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 5:41FLARadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 9:55BOSConnor Clifton · Chargingdrawn by Zac Dalpe2 min

2nd

  • 4:57FLAAaron Ekblad · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 13:54BOSDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 18:02FLASam Bennett · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min

3rd

  • 3:13FLABrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 9:05BOSHampus Lindholm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 20:00FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 20:00BOSNick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 20:00BOSNick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalBOS goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Eetu Luostarinen, 3rd 14:22 — FLA 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.47S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.44A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.20A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Dalpe · Goal · xG 0.17M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.17N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.15M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.13N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11C. White · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.06A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA7 G · 3.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsFLA
2.75 G
All situations
6 G3.9
1.51 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
1.13 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS44%56%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.62 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsFLA
34
Shots on goal
33
53%
Faceoffs
47%
3/4
Power play
2/4
14
Penalty minutes
12
24
Hits
27
20
Blocked shots
20
7
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD022010.03062—25:05
27H. LindholmD000000.00102—20:49
81D. OrlovD011-310.06112—20:49
88D. PastrnakR202-170.75000—20:30
25B. CarloD011+140.17020—20:16
63B. MarchandL044-220.0811010019:17
59T. BertuzziL213-350.7010010017:49
46D. KrejciC000-100.011302017:44
37P. BergeronC000-340.262006817:27
13C. CoyleC000+110.042103815:47
18P. ZachaC011000.003002915:33
28D. ForbortD000010.01012—14:55
75C. CliftonD000-310.03122—13:22
74J. DeBruskL101010.14300—12:44
71T. HallL000000.09210—12:24
92T. NosekL000-130.081005010:33
17N. FolignoL000-120.2022410010:11
21G. HathawayR000-110.07300—07:31
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)32266.8132.97-3.0358:38

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).