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Panthers at Bruins
NHL

Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

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Florida Panthers
1
Boston Bruins
▸3
FinalTD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Florida Panthers 3-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 17:32 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.4, BOS 2.3; shots on goal were FLA 32, BOS 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.7 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Linus Ullmark (31 saves, .969), 2. Tyler Bertuzzi (2 A), 3. Jake DeBrusk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    L. Ullmark31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Bertuzzi2 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0151908132
BOSBOS1828013329

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(1)PPG
    T. Bertuzzi (1), D. Krejci (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    5:58

2nd period

  1. BOS
    B. Marchand(1)
    C. McAvoy (1), D. Orlov (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:41
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    6:34
  3. BOS
    J. DeBrusk(1)
    T. Bertuzzi (2), P. Zacha (1)
    pokexG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    17:32

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·BOS 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:54FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 4:58FLAGivani Smith · Interferencedrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 18:40BOSCharlie McAvoy · Cross checkingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

3rd

  • 5:04BOSNick Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalFLA goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 2nd 17:32 — BOS 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.19D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.17T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.15D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.15D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.11T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.10B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.08G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.08D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.08C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.07D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.05B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.04T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.04C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.03D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.03T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.03D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBOS
2.41 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA51%49%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBOS
32
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
44
Hits
43
15
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
12
11
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000+120.43300—27:09
5A. EkbladD000-240.07112—23:59
42G. ForslingD000-230.08130—23:25
19M. TkachukL101+130.25300—22:25
13S. ReinhartC000010.122206722:21
16A. BarkovC000-100.104105219:51
12E. StaalC000010.113001719:06
23C. VerhaegheC000-120.1660010018:12
18M. StaalD000+100.00100—17:40
7R. GudasD000020.06210—16:30
27E. LuostarinenC000010.13300016:12
15A. LundellC000030.211204716:04
10A. DuclairL000-230.21320—14:08
94R. LombergL000010.1520010013:17
28J. MahuraD000020.04300—09:43
21N. CousinsC000010.01110008:03
6C. WhiteC000010.21210006:20
54G. SmithR000020.06312—05:25
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)29263.8972.34-0.6657:10

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).