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Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

FinalTD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 6-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bertuzzi's goal at 17:01 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 31% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 30, BOS 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Linus Ullmark stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Montour (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Montour2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA010210410630
BOSBOS01221718337

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:42
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    12:13
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:18
  4. BOS
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    17:01

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    0:22
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    7:00
  3. FLA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    12:30
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.52
    6-2
    17:35
  5. BOS
    wristxG 0.12
    6-3
    18:50

Penalties

FLA 32 PIM·BOS 60 PIM

1st

  • 10:56FLARyan Lomberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 18:53FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 8:33BOSDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 11:38BOSHampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 15:01FLARyan Lomberg · Slashingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 19:36BOSTyler Bertuzzi · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:36FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

  • 1:17FLAMarc Staal · High stickingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 9:05FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 9:05BOSTyler Bertuzzi · Cross checkingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 18:16BOSGarnet Hathaway · Misconductdrawn by Nick Cousins10 min
  • 18:50FLARadko Gudas · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:50BOSDerek Forbort · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:50BOSNick Foligno · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:57BOSCharlie Coyle · Roughingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 19:57FLARyan Lomberg · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:57BOSTrent Frederic · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:57BOSTyler Bertuzzi · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalFLA goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi, 2nd 17:01 — BOS 31% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.19J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.16T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.14T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.14D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.12B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.12P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.11B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.11T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.09D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.09C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.08C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.08D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.08D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.07D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.06N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.04P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 3.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBOS
4.95 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.85 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA53%47%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBOS
30
Shots on goal
37
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
1/4
32
Penalty minutes
60
29
Hits
31
13
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+320.07230—24:58
42G. ForslingD011+310.05122—24:45
62B. MontourD202+220.28200—22:06
13S. ReinhartC011+200.124105020:30
16A. BarkovC011+110.192006919:32
18M. StaalD000+210.06112—18:59
19M. TkachukL022+120.09202—18:49
27E. LuostarinenC101+141.01110016:54
9S. BennettC101+271.153023616:15
7R. GudasD000000.005310—15:38
23C. VerhaegheC101+120.2600010015:27
28J. MahuraD000-110.01110—12:42
15A. LundellC000020.850006012:41
10A. DuclairL000-210.11000—11:22
12E. StaalC101+220.371003310:43
94R. LombergL000010.012014—09:58
21N. CousinsC022+110.22000009:23
6C. WhiteC011+100.002105607:16
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)37343.9192.97-0.0360:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).