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Panthers at Bruins
NHL

Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Boston Bruins
3
Final/OTTD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 4-3 in overtime, Matthew Tkachuk scoring at 6:05. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 6:05 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were FLA 25, BOS 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 44 of 47 (.936), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Charlie McAvoy (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA18181613425
BOSBOS0911821604347

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Duclair(1)
    C. Verhaeghe (2)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:26

2nd period

  1. BOS
    B. Marchand(4)PPG
    C. McAvoy (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    2:27
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(3)
    C. Verhaeghe (3), N. Cousins (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    18:52

3rd period

  1. BOS
    P. Bergeron(1)PPG
    B. Marchand (2), C. McAvoy (3)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    4:33
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(2)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (4), A. Barkov (3)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    5:14
  3. BOS
    T. Hall(5)
    B. Carlo (2), C. Coyle (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    9:16

Overtime

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(3)
    C. Verhaeghe (4)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +52 pts
    4-3
    6:05

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·BOS 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:01FLAColin White · Slashingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min

2nd

  • 0:53FLASam Bennett · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 4:33BOSJakub Lauko · Slashingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 14:49FLAAaron Ekblad · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

  • 4:27FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min
  • 4:39BOSJakub Lauko · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 16:25FLAserved by N. Cousins · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalFLA goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, OT 6:05 — FLA 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.17B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.16P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.15B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.15T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.14T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.12P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.12B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.12P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.11P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.10B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.10T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.09C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.06M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.04T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.03D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauko · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.00D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 3.6 xG · 72 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBOS
2.14 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA25%75%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 3.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBOS
25
Shots on goal
47
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
48
Hits
40
19
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000+130.14420—28:21
5A. EkbladD000+100.02244—27:29
16A. BarkovC011+220.086003624:02
18M. StaalD000+120.03320—21:55
7R. GudasD000010.01720—21:27
19M. TkachukL112+120.18510—21:06
62B. MontourD000000.09100—19:55
9S. BennettC101+130.344022719:37
23C. VerhaegheC033+330.26200019:16
15A. LundellC000-110.072102517:02
27E. LuostarinenC000-110.00210016:49
21N. CousinsC011+130.2111010016:37
10A. DuclairL101+120.35210—16:31
13S. ReinhartC101-120.335003615:19
12E. StaalC000000.000007511:46
28J. MahuraD000+100.00120—11:42
22Z. DalpeC000000.00010007:03
6C. WhiteC000000.0011210006:53
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)47443.9363.64+0.6466:05

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).