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Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers

FinalFLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 6:00 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 35, FLA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Alex Lyon stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dmitry Orlov (2 A), 3. Gustav Forsling (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Orlov2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    G. Forsling1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS17112216435
FLAFLA0804219231

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:26

2nd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    6:00

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    3-0
    8:32
  2. BOS
    backhandxG 0.15
    4-0
    11:45
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.14
    4-1
    14:41
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    4-2
    15:59

Penalties

BOS 14 PIM·FLA 18 PIM

1st

  • 4:19BOSTyler Bertuzzi · Slashingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 8:12FLASam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

2nd

  • 11:27FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 14:39BOSBrandon Carlo · Holdingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

3rd

  • 9:35FLARyan Lomberg · Hookingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 12:55FLAAleksander Barkov · Roughingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 12:55FLABrandon Montour · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:55BOSTyler Bertuzzi · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalBOS goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 2nd 6:00 — BOS 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.16G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.11G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.11A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.10B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.07R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsFLA
4.44 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.34 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS70%30%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.50 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsFLA
35
Shots on goal
31
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/4
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
18
41
Hits
54
18
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000000.00810—25:21
81D. OrlovD022+100.02200—21:58
27H. LindholmD000+120.04110—21:30
88D. PastrnakR101+171.38000—21:17
63B. MarchandL011+140.31000—19:21
18P. ZachaC000+130.473104618:43
74J. DeBruskL022+120.14200—18:19
25B. CarloD000+120.05032—17:31
13C. CoyleC101+151.101003216:53
28D. ForbortD000+100.00120—16:50
59T. BertuzziL011+110.152212—16:34
71T. HallL112+120.12200—14:05
17N. FolignoL101+140.224102513:37
92T. NosekL000010.010105012:49
48M. GrzelcykD000000.01110—12:39
21G. HathawayR000-110.1155010011:22
11T. FredericC000-110.25400010:49
94J. LaukoC000000.00500006:22
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)31292.9352.35+0.3560:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).