Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Blues scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Helm's goal at 19:54 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were COL 39, STL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Ville Husso stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. Darren Helm (1 G), 2. J.T. Compher (2 G), 3. Justin Faulk (1 G).
Three stars
- ★D. Helm1 G

- ★★J. Compher2 G

- ★★★J. Faulk1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-119:00
2nd period
1-15:19
1-29:34
3rd period
2-210:18
3-219:54
Penalties
1st
- 14:34
Josh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
2nd
- 11:18
Robert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
- 15:55
Nathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
3rd
- 8:19
Colton Parayko · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Darren Helm, 3rd 19:54 — 48% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.33 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.7
- 2.92 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 1.67
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 39
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 24
- Hits
- 32
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 6
- Giveaways
- 6
- 8
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Series
COL leads 4-2
2@
3OTFinal
4@
1Final
5@
2Final
6@
3Final
5@
4OTFinal
3@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















