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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
Colorado Avalanche
4
Final/OTTV TNT, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-4 in overtime, Tyler Bozak scoring at 3:38. The Blues came back from three goals down. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bozak's goal at 3:38 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 30, COL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.2 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (3 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Bozak (1 G), 3. Robert Thomas (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    T. Bozak1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL091931012530
COLCOL218161505434

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(6)
    A. Lehkonen (1), B. Byram (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:51
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(7)PPG
    M. Rantanen (10), C. Makar (10)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    18:23

2nd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(6)
    D. Toews (3), N. MacKinnon (5)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    4:02
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(6)
    N. Leddy (2), B. Schenn (7)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    14:42

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(1)
    P. Buchnevich (9), N. Leddy (3)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    9:57
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(6)
    J. Faulk (7), A. Toropchenko (2)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    15:14
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(8)
    B. Byram (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +42 pts
    3-4
    17:14
  4. STL
    R. Thomas(2)
    V. Tarasenko (3), P. Buchnevich (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +46 pts
    4-4
    19:04

Overtime

  1. STL
    T. Bozak(2)
    N. Leddy (4), I. Barbashev (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +52 pts
    5-4
    3:38

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:07COLArtturi Lehkonen · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 17:34STLRobert Bortuzzo · Holding the stickdrawn by Darren Helm2 min
  • 18:44STLBrayden Schenn · Cross checkingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

2nd

  • 0:56COLMikko Rantanen · Holding the stickdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 8:10STLNiko Mikkola · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 12:04COLLogan O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bozak, OT 3:38 — STL 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.24M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.18J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.17V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.14B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.09V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.06B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.04B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 2.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
2.45 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.65 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL44%56%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
47
Hits
31
13
Blocked shots
22
5
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011+210.10330—29:02
55C. ParaykoD000-120.05500—28:38
90R. O'ReillyC000000.252204722:54
4N. LeddyD033+110.01310—22:48
89P. BuchnevichL022020.0312010021:35
18R. ThomasC202+160.551005021:31
57D. PerronL000-130.11300—21:13
20B. SaadL000020.37310—19:50
91V. TarasenkoR112+350.35000—19:01
10B. SchennC011+100.006026016:51
77N. MikkolaD000+110.02622—16:19
25J. KyrouR101020.39000—15:26
6M. ScandellaD000010.08410—12:22
65A. ToropchenkoR011+120.03100—11:16
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00412—11:09
49I. BarbashevL011+100.00100—10:27
21T. BozakC101+120.06200007:16
26N. WalkerL000+100.00200—07:01
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(W)34304.8822.78-1.2262:20

Series

COL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).