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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Final/OTTV TNT, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Josh Manson scoring at 8:02. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Manson's goal at 8:02 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were STL 25, COL 54. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 51 of 54 (.944), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Manson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Binnington (51 saves, .944), 3. Valeri Nichushkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Manson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington51 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL17091900225
COLCOL08219014113354

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(6)
    B. Schenn (4)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:25

2nd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(3)
    N. MacKinnon (2), M. Rantanen (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:14
  2. COL
    S. Girard(1)
    J. Manson (2), G. Landeskog (4)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:32

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(4)PPG
    J. Faulk (5)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +36 pts
    2-2
    16:46

Overtime

  1. COL
    J. Manson(1)
    G. Landeskog (5), N. Kadri (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    8:02

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·COL 2 PIM

2nd

  • 13:37STLIvan Barbashev · Hookingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

3rd

  • 12:54STLBrandon Saad · Hookingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 14:53COLDevon Toews · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 18:41STLBrayden Schenn · High stickingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Manson, OT 8:02 — COL 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.32D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.16N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.16V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.15D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.13C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.13N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.12N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.12N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.09S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.07D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 4.2 xG · 79 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
1.52 G
All situations
3 G4.2
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G3.7
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 111 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL12%88%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 4.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
54
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
39
Hits
47
27
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000020.05230—28:56
72J. FaulkD011-220.04330—25:54
4N. LeddyD000010.03110—24:19
10B. SchennC011000.00222022:53
57D. PerronL000010.12110—22:48
90R. O'ReillyC101050.443204322:48
18R. ThomasC000-200.003102722:09
89P. BuchnevichL000-200.03340—21:43
91V. TarasenkoR000-100.06200—18:44
20B. SaadL000030.17002—17:24
25J. KyrouR101-130.23310—17:17
43C. RosenD000020.01040—15:32
77N. MikkolaD000-120.03640—15:09
41R. BortuzzoD000000.02400—14:21
49I. BarbashevL000010.134022013:54
21T. BozakC000010.0110010011:19
48S. PerunovichD000-110.00010—10:12
65A. ToropchenkoR000010.11100—08:48
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)54513.9444.19+1.1968:02

Series

COL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).