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Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 3:12 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were EDM 17, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.0 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 17 of 17 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Giordano (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikael Backlund (2 A), 3. Andrew Mangiapane (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Giordano1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM070703017
CGYCGY010410112532

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:12
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    10:43
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    13:21
  4. CGY
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    19:25

3rd period

  1. CGY
    backhandxG 0.02
    0-5
    13:30

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:55EDMZack Kassian · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 11:28EDMKailer Yamamoto · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
  • 14:05CGYMikael Backlund · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:23EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 6:03CGYMichael Stone · Interferencedrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 18:38EDMDarnell Nurse · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 3:12 — CGY 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.22J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.18M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.16A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.14S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.13M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.12E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.09D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.09D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.07J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.07C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.06B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 3.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
1.50 G
All situations
5 G3.0
1.20 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM23%77%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
17
Shots on goal
32
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
12
20
Giveaways
17
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-240.15112—23:01
6A. LarssonD000-110.00120—21:58
4K. RussellD000-100.02130—21:57
97C. McDavidC000-210.030006020:56
22T. BarrieD000-240.29100—19:44
29L. DraisaitlC000030.400026419:22
56K. YamamotoR000000.00002—18:06
74E. BearD000-100.08220—17:49
15J. ArchibaldR000-110.20100—14:34
63T. EnnisR000-210.1120010013:57
16J. KhairaL000-110.032104013:45
13J. PuljujarviR000-300.00110—13:25
14D. ShoreC000-100.001008013:20
18J. NealL000000.10110—13:12
91G. HaasC000-110.101103012:40
82C. JonesD000-100.00230—12:19
21D. KahunC000-100.00000011:46
44Z. KassianR000000.00002—10:54
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)32275.8443.04-1.9660:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).