Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 3:12 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were EDM 17, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.0 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 17 of 17 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Giordano (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikael Backlund (2 A), 3. Andrew Mangiapane (1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Giordano1 G, 1 A

- ★★M. Backlund2 A

- ★★★A. Mangiapane1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-13:12
0-210:43
0-313:21
0-419:25
3rd period
0-513:30
Penalties
2nd
- 4:55
Zack Kassian · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
- 11:28
Kailer Yamamoto · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
- 14:05
Mikael Backlund · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 0:23
Leon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
- 6:03
Michael Stone · Interferencedrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
- 18:38
Darnell Nurse · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sean Monahan, 2nd 3:12 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.50 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.0
- 1.20 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.0
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 3.04
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 17
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 17
- Hits
- 15
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 20
- Giveaways
- 17
- 8
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















