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Flames at Oilers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 3-2. The Flames scored first; the Oilers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 16:15 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were CGY 36, EDM 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Mike Smith stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 2. Elias Lindholm (2 A), 3. Kailer Yamamoto (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    K. Yamamoto1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1210718236
EDMEDM010112211333

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(10)PPG
    E. Lindholm (15), S. Monahan (13)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    14:49

2nd period

  1. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(7)
    K. Russell (5), C. McDavid (27)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    17:01

3rd period

  1. CGY
    N. Hanifin(1)
    E. Lindholm (16), D. Dube (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    1:42
  2. EDM
    K. Yamamoto(6)
    L. Draisaitl (26), C. McDavid (28)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    6:07
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(15)
    K. Yamamoto (7), K. Russell (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +40 pts
    2-3
    16:15

Penalties

CGY 14 PIM·EDM 16 PIM

1st

  • 14:16EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 15:30CGYMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Darnell Nurse5 min
  • 15:30EDMDarnell Nurse · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
  • 16:52CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by James Neal5 min
  • 16:52EDMJames Neal · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min
  • 18:04EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

2nd

  • 2:35CGYBrett Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min
  • 6:48EDMLeon Draisaitl · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

3rd

  • 10:03CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Chargingdrawn by Caleb Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 3rd 16:15 — EDM 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.66D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.21J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.19C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.10G. Haas · Missed · xG 0.10T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.04K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 3.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
2.82 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY54%46%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
36
Shots on goal
33
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
16
40
Hits
42
18
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
13
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-240.20130—23:49
8C. TanevD000+110.07240—23:41
5M. GiordanoD000-210.03300—23:30
55N. HanifinD101+140.27330—20:23
13J. GaudreauL101010.18000—20:04
28E. LindholmC022-110.081001719:48
11M. BacklundC000-150.510106118:51
88A. MangiapaneL000-140.35300—17:55
23S. MonahanC011010.140005017:47
19M. TkachukL000-110.00607—15:47
27J. LeivoL000020.04300—14:01
17M. LucicL000-120.13415—13:56
29D. DubeC011-120.09100013:32
6J. VälimäkiD000-110.13120—13:16
20J. NordstromC000020.0533010011:41
89N. NesterovD000-120.05110—10:54
10D. RyanC000010.140002010:44
24B. RitchieR000010.32802—07:54
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)33303.9092.51-0.4958:30

Season series

EDM leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).