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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
4
Calgary Flames
▸6
FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesse Puljujarvi's goal at 1:18 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 24% to 48%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were EDM 32, CGY 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 3.9 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Backlund (1 G, 2 A), 2. Elias Lindholm (1 G), 3. Milan Lucic (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Lucic1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM21705210432
CGYCGY1321639628

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(3)
    D. Dube (3), M. Tkachuk (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:56
  2. EDM
    J. Khaira(1)
    W. Lagesson (1), A. Larsson (2)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:53
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(9)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (6), T. Barrie (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    18:29

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Lucic(3)
    A. Mangiapane (2), M. Backlund (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:04
  2. CGY
    M. Backlund(3)
    A. Mangiapane (3), M. Lucic (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    4:58

3rd period

  1. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(3)
    C. McDavid (17)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    1:18
  2. CGY
    D. Dube(2)PPG
    M. Giordano (3), M. Backlund (4)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
    3-4
    2:56
  3. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(7)
    S. Monahan (7), M. Giordano (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    3-5
    5:16
  4. EDM
    D. Nurse(4)
    D. Kahun (2), L. Draisaitl (16)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    4-5
    8:55
  5. CGY
    S. Bennett(1)
    J. Gaudreau (6), C. Tanev (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    4-6
    10:57

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·CGY 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:41CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 15:10CGYMark Giordano · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:35CGYJoakim Nordstrom · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mikko Koskinen2 min

2nd

  • 9:26CGYJoakim Nordstrom · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 10:27EDMConnor McDavid · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min

3rd

  • 1:40EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 7:16CGYElias Lindholm · Embellishmentdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 7:16EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Interferencedrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 12:05EDMKyle Turris · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 15:31CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Jesse Puljujarvi, 3rd 1:18 — EDM 24% → 48%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.20E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.20S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.16S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.15M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.14D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.10D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.08M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.07M. Lucic · Goal · xG 0.07D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.03D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01N. Nesterov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY6 G · 2.1 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
2.84 G
All situations
6 G2.1
1.73 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM62%38%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
32
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/5
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
12
Hits
20
9
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC112-140.383024228:16
29L. DraisaitlC011-110.230106727:03
25D. NurseD101-130.19320—25:52
22T. BarrieD011-240.27010—25:34
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011040.320022523:21
13J. PuljujarviR101040.60302—19:54
18J. NealL000-100.00000—16:50
6A. LarssonD011+100.00020—16:32
56K. YamamotoR000-210.22000—14:55
4K. RussellD000-200.00010—14:17
75E. BouchardD000-130.13100—13:50
21D. KahunC011-210.05010013:22
8K. TurrisC000-130.260025412:09
15J. ArchibaldR000020.06010—10:51
44Z. KassianR000000.03100—09:52
84W. LagessonD011+100.00000—09:28
16J. KhairaL101+110.08100—08:35
20S. KoekkoekD000010.01000—05:16
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)28226.7862.14-3.8656:47

Season series

EDM leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).