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Flames at Oilers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸3
Edmonton Oilers
1
FinalTV NBCSN (JIP), SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 7:07 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.1, EDM 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 30, EDM 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (30 saves, .968), 2. Elias Lindholm (2 G), 3. Rasmus Andersson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1711518330
EDMEDM1809014131

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(16)
    M. Tkachuk (22), J. Gaudreau (21)
    slapxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:04
  2. EDM
    J. Neal(4)
    K. Russell (9), J. Archibald (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:28

2nd period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(17)
    R. Andersson (14), M. Tkachuk (23)
    deflectedxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:07

3rd period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(9)
    M. Lucic (11), R. Andersson (15)
    wristxG 0.63win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    12:08

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:40CGYBrett Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 2:43EDMTyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Joakim Nordstrom2 min
  • 3:20CGYDerek Ryan · Hookingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 3:41EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Interferencedrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 19:16CGYDillon Dube · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mike Smith2 min

3rd

  • 12:16CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Boardingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 2nd 7:07 — CGY 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.15A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.11D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.10D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.07J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.04G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04D. Kahun · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.00D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.00L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM1 G · 2.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
2.13 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY48%52%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
30
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
35
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
19
16
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000000.03220—27:14
8C. TanevD000020.01030—25:07
4R. AnderssonD022+210.06400—20:52
89N. NesterovD000+200.00510—20:02
28E. LindholmC202+250.320106418:55
11M. BacklundC000020.191105418:16
23S. MonahanC000010.181002016:50
19M. TkachukL022+230.05422—16:25
13J. GaudreauL011+200.04000—14:51
88A. MangiapaneL000000.09100—14:49
24B. RitchieR000020.02512—14:03
26M. StoneD000050.09210—14:01
10D. RyanC000000.001126313:26
29D. DubeC101020.81002013:24
6J. VälimäkiD000020.01200—12:44
20J. NordstromC000020.13210011:56
17M. LucicL011010.04410—11:45
53B. RobinsonR000020.01100—07:34
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)31301.9682.18+1.1859:46

Season series

EDM leads 6-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).