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Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSWA+·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 4-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 0:12 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 62%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.2 to 1.3; shots on goal were WSH 35, NYR 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.7 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. T.J. Oshie (3 G), 2. Dmitry Orlov (3 A), 3. Vitek Vanecek (19 saves, .905).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Oshie3 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Orlov3 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    V. Vanecek19 saves, .905

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH011314110435
NYRNYR0110327221

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(19)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    0:12
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(20)PPG
    slapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    8:26
  3. WSH
    J. Carlson (34), D. Orlov (12)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    14:48

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    1:15
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(21)EN
    C. Hagelin (10), D. Orlov (13)
    wristxG 0.51
    4-1
    18:20
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.06
    4-2
    18:44

Penalties

WSH 56 PIM·NYR 85 PIM

1st

  • 0:01WSHNic Dowd · Fightingdrawn by Kevin Rooney5 min
  • 0:01WSHCarl Hagelin · Fightingdrawn by Colin Blackwell5 min
  • 0:01WSHGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Phillip Di Giuseppe5 min
  • 0:01NYRColin Blackwell · Fightingdrawn by Carl Hagelin5 min
  • 0:01NYRPhillip Di Giuseppe · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
  • 0:01NYRKevin Rooney · Fightingdrawn by Nic Dowd5 min
  • 0:50NYRBrendan Smith · Instigatordrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 0:50NYRBrendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 0:50WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min
  • 0:50NYRBrendan Smith · Misconductdrawn by Tom Wilson10 min
  • 4:14NYRAnthony Bitetto · Fightingdrawn by Michael Raffl5 min
  • 4:14WSHMichael Raffl · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Bitetto5 min
  • 4:14NYRRyan Strome · Fightingdrawn by Lars Eller5 min
  • 4:14WSHLars Eller · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Strome5 min
  • 11:24WSHCarl Hagelin · Slashingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 12:18WSHZdeno Chara · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 15:56NYRPavel Buchnevich · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 15:56NYRKevin Rooney · Misconductdrawn by Tom Wilson10 min
  • 15:56WSHTom Wilson · Misconductdrawn by Kevin Rooney10 min
  • 18:13NYRPavel Buchnevich · High stickingdrawn by Zdeno Chara2 min

2nd

  • 4:39WSHAnthony Mantha · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 4:39NYRPavel Buchnevich · Cross checkingdrawn by Anthony Mantha5 min
  • 4:39NYRPavel Buchnevich · Game misconductdrawn by Anthony Mantha10 min
  • 15:46WSHZdeno Chara · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 7:48NYRRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min
  • 7:48NYRRyan Strome · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:45NYRPhillip Di Giuseppe · Interferencedrawn by Daniel Carr2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 2nd 0:12 — WSH 47% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.12F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.09C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.09V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.08B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.02V. Kravtsov · Missed · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 1.3 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
4.23 G
All situations
2 G1.3
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G0.8
1.62 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH86%14%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.59 – 1.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
35
Shots on goal
21
65%
Faceoffs
35%
2/7
Power play
0/2
56
Penalty minutes
85
11
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD033+130.18030—26:13
74J. CarlsonD011+130.11000—23:07
19N. BackstromC011010.210108022:19
77T. OshieR303071.310108022:06
39A. ManthaR000050.31102—21:32
57T. van RiemsdykD011020.20000—20:55
73C. ShearyL000-130.31000—19:57
20L. EllerC000-110.202054719:40
4B. DillonD011000.01210—19:34
17M. RafflL000-110.490056718:34
3N. JensenD000-100.01000—17:16
33Z. CharaD000-120.070112—14:45
62C. HagelinL011+210.10007—12:31
26N. DowdC101+130.372056712:08
28D. CarrL000000.13200—11:32
21G. HathawayR000030.13215—11:24
43T. WilsonR000000.000015—02:36
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)21192.9051.30-0.7059:57

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).