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Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSWA·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Daniel Sprong's goal at 4:37 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were WSH 40, NYR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Igor Shesterkin stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Daniel Sprong (1 G), 2. Nic Dowd (1 G, 1 A), 3. Michael Raffl (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Sprong1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Dowd1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Raffl2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH215111314640
NYRNYR11021105326

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:12
  2. WSH
    slapxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:44
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    18:00

2nd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    2:30
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    4:35
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.14win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    18:30

3rd period

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +27 pts
    4-3
    4:37
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    5-3
    11:41
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson(13)EN
    wristxG 0.73win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    18:34

Penalties

WSH 22 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:04WSHLars Eller · Trippingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 9:49NYRBrendan Smith · Holding the stickdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min

2nd

  • 1:12WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 6:07WSHserved by D. Sprong · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:40WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 7:40NYRArtemi Panarin · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 7:40WSHBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 7:40NYRPavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 7:40WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 7:40WSHTom Wilson · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:26NYRserved by A. Lafrenière · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:33NYRZac Jones · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Daniel Sprong, 3rd 4:37 — WSH 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.29M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.23K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.21M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.20F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.17A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.14R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.13V. Kravtsov · Missed · xG 0.13K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.13R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.12F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.08A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.08K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06K. Rooney · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.03B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01V. Kravtsov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.01V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.00A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.00M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 3.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
4.95 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.65 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
1.10 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH61%39%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.62 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
40
Shots on goal
26
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
1/4
22
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
16
8
Blocked shots
8
8
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+230.12030—25:00
9D. OrlovD000+210.08200—22:51
26N. DowdC112+220.273106721:25
39A. ManthaR000+230.32110—19:51
20L. EllerC000040.341024419:08
4B. DillonD000+220.03212—18:54
19N. BackstromC101+120.283004718:49
62C. HagelinL011+210.01100—18:02
73C. ShearyL101050.51200—18:00
57T. van RiemsdykD000+200.01010—17:40
10D. SprongR101070.76000—17:25
33Z. CharaD000010.02200—17:23
21G. HathawayR112+230.8720010016:25
17M. RafflL022+230.2700010015:35
3N. JensenD011010.01010—13:46
43T. WilsonR112+121.021016—11:49
8A. OvechkinL000000.00000—00:39
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)26233.8852.97-0.0360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).