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Rangers at Capitals
NHL

New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸3
Washington Capitals
1
FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 17:28 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYR 25, WSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A), 2. Keith Kinkaid (28 saves, .966), 3. Ilya Samsonov (22 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    K. Kinkaid28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    I. Samsonov22 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1708210325
WSHWSH01007112129

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    P. Buchnevich(11)
    A. Fox (16), M. Zibanejad (12)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:49

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Carlson(7)
    T. Wilson (11), N. Backstrom (22)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +28 pts
    1-1
    5:55
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +45 pts
    2-1
    17:28
  3. NYR
    B. Howden(1)EN
    R. Strome (14), P. Buchnevich (17)
    backhandxG 0.95win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    19:32

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:57NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Hookingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 5:16WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 9:20NYRArtemi Panarin · Holdingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min

2nd

  • 5:54NYRBrett Howden · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 15:41WSHBrenden Dillon · Boardingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

3rd

  • 1:44WSHCarl Hagelin · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 8:12NYRBrendan Lemieux · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 3rd 17:28 — NYR 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.22A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.11N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.06E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.06T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.03N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 2.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
2.82 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR46%54%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
25
Shots on goal
29
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
31
23
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+310.11020—28:00
55R. LindgrenD000+310.01020—23:28
8J. TroubaD000-100.01210—22:13
16R. StromeC011010.000105022:06
93M. ZibanejadC112+240.621303321:30
20C. KreiderL000+110.01200—20:45
89P. BuchnevichL112+240.25200—19:59
10A. PanarinL000+140.48002—19:34
79K. MillerD000000.00210—18:44
43C. BlackwellC000010.080405015:38
42B. SmithD000-110.02120—13:47
21B. HowdenC101010.95142013:04
24K. KakkoR000020.02010—12:42
72F. ChytilC000010.020005009:57
17K. RooneyC000000.001004309:31
25L. HajekD000000.00020—08:42
13A. LafrenièreL000020.141025007:53
48B. LemieuxL000010.06102—04:27
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
71K. Kinkaid(W)29281.9662.03+1.0360:00

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).