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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 17:44 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYR 24, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (26 saves, .963), 2. Ryan Strome (1 G, 1 A), 3. Artemi Panarin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    NYR
    R. Strome1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1621315424
WSHWSH0811108127

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    14:57

2nd period

  1. NYR
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    17:44
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    18:43
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.02win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    19:21

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.45win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    17:48

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·WSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:03NYRLibor Hajek · High stickingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 11:55WSHRichard Panik · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 14:05WSHLars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min

2nd

  • 8:25NYRJulien Gauthier · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min
  • 13:25WSHGarnet Hathaway · Trippingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min

3rd

  • 0:36WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 4:42NYRBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 15:54NYRAnthony Bitetto · Holdingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min
  • 18:42WSHRichard Panik · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 2nd 17:44 — NYR 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.13J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.13T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.12G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.10J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.10N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.09T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.08L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 1.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
3.13 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR63%37%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
24
Shots on goal
27
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000+210.10010—24:20
55R. LindgrenD011+220.14040—21:51
79K. MillerD000020.03200—20:25
42B. SmithD000000.00122—18:47
93M. ZibanejadC101+130.710006518:18
17K. RooneyC000010.252103818:09
89P. BuchnevichL022+240.23000—18:05
16R. StromeC112+120.140005516:49
10A. PanarinL022010.08000—16:17
20C. KreiderL101+110.5812010016:07
13A. LafrenièreL101010.54100—14:40
43C. BlackwellC000010.0720010014:39
22A. BitettoD011000.01102—14:23
25L. HajekD000020.11102—14:11
33P. Di GiuseppeL000020.10000—13:05
48B. LemieuxL000000.00100—11:47
21B. HowdenC000000.000205011:04
12J. GauthierR000010.0200210009:03
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)27261.9631.89+0.8960:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).