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Rangers at Capitals
NHL

New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
4
Washington Capitals
▸5
FinalTV NBC, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 5-4. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 10:43 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals were close — NYR 1.9, WSH 2.1; shots on goal were NYR 20, WSH 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 2.9 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (2 G), 2. T.J. Oshie (1 G, 2 A), 3. Colin Blackwell (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    C. Blackwell2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR060549420
WSHWSH0113823522

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(8)
    J. Vrana (12)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    10:43
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(18)
    T. Oshie (15), D. Orlov (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    12:29
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson(9)
    N. Backstrom (23), T. Oshie (16)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    15:07

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(6)
    C. Hagelin (6), G. Hathaway (7)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    5:10
  2. NYR
    C. Blackwell(7)
    A. Fox (25)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    6:42
  3. NYR
    C. Blackwell(8)
    K. Rooney (4), P. Di Giuseppe (7)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +3 pts
    2-4
    9:41
  4. WSH
    T. Oshie(8)
    J. Schultz (15), D. Orlov (3)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    11:46
  5. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(5)
    J. Gauthier (5), K. Rooney (5)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    12:18
  6. NYR
    C. Kreider(17)PPG
    R. Strome (21), A. Fox (26)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    4-5
    16:08

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 17:15NYRColin Blackwell · Roughingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

2nd

  • 3:25NYRBrendan Smith · Hookingdrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min
  • 7:11WSHNic Dowd · Holdingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 12:51WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 18:14WSHCarl Hagelin · High stickingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min

3rd

  • 1:50NYRLibor Hajek · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 15:57WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Tom Wilson, 2nd 10:43 — WSH 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.18T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.15J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.13N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.12C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.10N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.09T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.09T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.09N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.07J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.05R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.03R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 2.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
1.94 G
All situations
5 G2.1
1.83 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 60 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR48%52%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
20
Shots on goal
22
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
36
7
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD022010.05010—27:09
93M. ZibanejadC000-110.271004123:36
89P. BuchnevichL000020.10300—22:09
8J. TroubaD000-110.03310—22:06
20C. KreiderL101030.29210—21:47
10A. PanarinL000-220.17300—21:27
16R. StromeC011-100.000004021:15
55R. LindgrenD000-100.00000—19:35
79K. MillerD000010.10010—19:01
24K. KakkoR000-210.0300010015:26
42B. SmithD000-110.04102—13:03
17K. RooneyC022+200.002006012:43
25L. HajekD000-110.01112—12:29
72F. ChytilC000-210.221105011:55
43C. BlackwellC202-120.26002009:28
13A. LafrenièreL101010.11010—08:13
33P. Di GiuseppeL011000.00200—07:46
12J. GauthierR011+120.26200—06:53
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
71K. Kinkaid(L)22175.7732.08-2.9257:59

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).