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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Montréal Canadiens
1
FinalTV SN, RDS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 8:44 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were TOR 29, MTL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G), 2. Morgan Rielly (2 A), 3. William Nylander (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR27111111429
MTLMTL01111309133

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(15)PPG
    M. Marner (43), M. Rielly (27)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    1:38
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(35)
    N. Foligno (12), M. Rielly (28)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    8:44

2nd period

  1. TOR
    J. Muzzin(3)
    J. Spezza (15), J. Thornton (11)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    6:27
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(10)
    J. Petry (23), J. Edmundson (10)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    15:15

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Brooks(3)
    J. Spezza (16), J. Holl (16)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    8:15

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:59MTLTyler Toffoli · Trippingdrawn by Alex Galchenyuk2 min
  • 5:45TORJoe Thornton · Trippingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

2nd

  • 3:10MTLJon Merrill · Hookingdrawn by Joe Thornton2 min

3rd

  • 4:48TORAlex Galchenyuk · High stickingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 12:05MTLJeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by John Tavares2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 1st 8:44 — TOR 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.16J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.15P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.15A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.12J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.10P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.05J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.04M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL1 G · 1.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
2.34 G
All situations
1 G1.6
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR63%37%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 1.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
29
Shots on goal
33
34%
Faceoffs
66%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
29
20
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16M. MarnerR011+120.15030—21:24
44M. RiellyD022+110.02320—20:49
3J. HollD011+210.01110—20:22
8J. MuzzinD101+120.01300—19:55
78T. BrodieD000000.00030—19:30
38R. SandinD000010.05110—18:00
34A. MatthewsC101+150.571203117:33
71N. FolignoL011+100.03310—17:30
91J. TavaresC000-130.300203117:11
23T. DermottD000010.10210—16:52
65I. MikheyevR000+130.04110—15:24
88W. NylanderR101-120.24000—15:18
15A. KerfootC000010.201102215:03
24W. SimmondsR000020.17200—14:50
12A. GalchenyukC000-100.00112014:06
77A. BrooksC101+210.19210011:26
97J. ThorntonC011+120.062027510:51
19J. SpezzaC022+220.141006009:56
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)33321.9701.64+0.6460:00

Season series

TOR leads 7-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).