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Canadiens at Maple Leafs
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
4
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
Final/OTTV SN, TVAS·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-4 in overtime, Morgan Rielly scoring at 3:24. The Maple Leafs came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Rielly's goal at 3:24 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.0 to 3.4; shots on goal were MTL 32, TOR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Carey Price stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.0 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. William Nylander (2 G, 1 A), 2. John Tavares (1 G, 2 A), 3. Josh Anderson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Anderson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL2111711202432
TORTOR172141914534

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(1)PPG
    J. Drouin (1), J. Petry (1)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    12:49
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(1)
    J. Holl (1), J. Tavares (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:56
  3. MTL
    J. Anderson(1)
    J. Drouin (2), J. Petry (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    19:36

2nd period

  1. MTL
    T. Tatar(1)PPG
    A. Romanov (1), S. Weber (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    7:20
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(2)PPG
    J. Spezza (1), Z. Hyman (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    18:00
  3. TOR
    J. Tavares(1)PPG
    M. Marner (1), F. Andersen (1)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    19:21

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(2)
    J. Drouin (3), J. Edmundson (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +25 pts
    4-3
    1:03
  2. TOR
    J. Vesey(1)
    W. Nylander (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +33 pts
    4-4
    10:33

Overtime

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(1)
    J. Tavares (2), A. Matthews (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    3:24

Penalties

MTL 13 PIM·TOR 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:39TORZach Bogosian · Trippingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 11:37TORserved by W. Nylander · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 5:30TORZach Bogosian · Holdingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
  • 9:38MTLBrett Kulak · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 9:38TORWayne Simmonds · Fightingdrawn by Ben Chiarot5 min
  • 9:38MTLBen Chiarot · Fightingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds5 min
  • 16:04MTLJosh Anderson · Boardingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 18:18MTLNick Suzuki · Holdingdrawn by Ilya Mikheyev2 min
  • 18:21MTLShea Weber · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalMTL goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Rielly, OT 3:24 — TOR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.28A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.16A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.15J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.15A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.14J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rielly · Goal · xG 0.12W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.12W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.11J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.11I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.10I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.09I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.08I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.07W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.07M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.07J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.05J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.05I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.04J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.03T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01
TOR5 G · 4.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTOR
3.44 G
All situations
5 G4.0
2.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
1.12 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL40%60%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.32 – 3.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTOR
32
Shots on goal
34
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/3
Power play
2/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
32
Hits
14
22
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD011010.05112—24:02
26J. PetryD022020.05130—23:43
27A. RomanovD011030.08140—21:30
8B. ChiarotD000-210.08425—21:10
24P. DanaultC000-110.492006319:26
14N. SuzukiC101+161.133025018:38
44J. EdmundsonD011+110.04250—17:51
92J. DrouinL033+110.28000—17:36
17J. AndersonR202+170.52302—17:17
73T. ToffoliC000030.35000016:25
15J. KotkaniemiC000000.003201116:18
11B. GallagherR000-130.1820010015:37
90T. TatarL101010.120105015:20
77B. KulakD000010.01232—13:37
62A. LehkonenL000-110.01410—12:47
40J. ArmiaR000000.00100—12:09
41P. ByronL000-100.00100—10:49
71J. EvansC000-100.002001408:52
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(O)34295.8533.98-1.0263:24

Season series

TOR leads 7-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).