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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Final/OTTV SNO, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 4:43. The Maple Leafs scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phillip Danault's goal at 19:08 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 3% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were TOR 29, MTL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.0 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (3 A), 3. Auston Matthews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki3 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR1111100602229
MTLMTL010141811323

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(5)
    A. Galchenyuk (7), W. Nylander (23)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:07

2nd period

  1. MTL
    T. Toffoli(28)PPG
    N. Suzuki (23), J. Petry (26)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    1:55
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(39)
    J. Muzzin (18), J. Thornton (13)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    17:21

3rd period

  1. MTL
    P. Danault(5)
    N. Suzuki (24), J. Petry (27)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +49 pts
    2-2
    19:08

Overtime

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(2)
    J. Petry (28), N. Suzuki (25)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:43

Penalties

TOR 8 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:27TORAlex Galchenyuk · Hookingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 15:06TORWilliam Nylander · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min

2nd

  • 0:44TORNick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 2:17MTLAlexander Romanov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:35MTLTyler Toffoli · Trippingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min

3rd

  • 1:06MTLJeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
  • 5:59TORWilliam Nylander · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Phillip Danault, 3rd 19:08 — MTL 3% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.20C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.16T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.16N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.12J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.10M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.10B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.01
MTL3 G · 2.0 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
2.32 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR57%43%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
29
Shots on goal
23
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
23
14
Giveaways
25
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16M. MarnerR000040.58100—26:10
78T. BrodieD000020.00120—25:48
44M. RiellyD101+110.01220—25:22
34A. MatthewsC101050.411204423:51
8J. MuzzinD011020.07120—21:13
91J. TavaresC000030.280005420:38
88W. NylanderR011040.36004—18:30
23T. DermottD000-100.00100—15:59
38R. SandinD000010.04020—15:48
15A. KerfootC000-120.173106415:03
37T. LiljegrenD000+110.06010—14:36
65I. MikheyevR000010.15110—14:07
97J. ThorntonC011+100.00200013:13
24W. SimmondsR000010.05100—12:36
19J. SpezzaC000000.000003811:55
12A. GalchenyukC011+120.13102011:53
77A. BrooksC000000.00100011:11
71N. FolignoL000000.003023309:05
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(O)23203.8702.00-1.0064:43

Season series

TOR leads 7-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).