Skip to content
Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Montréal Canadiens
2
FinalTV SN, RDS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Canadiens scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Holl's goal at 1:50 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were TOR 24, MTL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Carey Price stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (1 G, 1 A), 2. John Tavares (2 A), 3. Josh Anderson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    Z. Hyman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Anderson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0616312424
MTLMTL19013113235

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(9)
    J. Drouin (10)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:16

2nd period

  1. TOR
    T. Dermott(1)
    J. Muzzin (6), J. Tavares (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    15:18

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. Holl(1)
    J. Tavares (9), J. Muzzin (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    1:50
  2. TOR
    I. Mikheyev(1)
    A. Kerfoot (4), Z. Hyman (5)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    2:32
  3. MTL
    T. Tatar(4)
    B. Chiarot (3), A. Romanov (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +7 pts
    3-2
    16:40
  4. TOR
    Z. Hyman(4)EN
    A. Matthews (5), J. Muzzin (8)
    backhandxG 0.45win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:56

Penalties

TOR 8 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:37TORPierre Engvall · High stickingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 15:08MTLShea Weber · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 18:38MTLPhillip Danault · Hookingdrawn by Nic Petan2 min

2nd

  • 9:02TORZach Bogosian · Holdingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 13:47TORJustin Holl · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 13:47MTLJake Evans · Slashingdrawn by Frederik Andersen2 min
  • 20:00TORZach Hyman · Embellishment2 min
  • 20:00MTLJoel Edmundson · Interferencedrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Justin Holl, 3rd 1:50 — TOR 48% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.28T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.22T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.16C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.13J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.11C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.07T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.04A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.04B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
3.33 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR53%47%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
24
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
19
18
Blocked shots
9
18
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000000.00120—26:24
78T. BrodieD000-100.00010—22:27
34A. MatthewsC011+130.331205722:06
16M. MarnerR000+120.23000—21:46
3J. HollD101+110.04342—19:59
8J. MuzzinD033+210.05310—19:56
11Z. HymanL112+230.73322—18:23
65I. MikheyevR101030.2220010016:00
22Z. BogosianD000+100.00132—15:50
88W. NylanderR000+120.520005015:40
91J. TavaresC022+130.260005015:28
15A. KerfootC011+120.630204415:04
23T. DermottD101+120.06000—12:02
61N. PetanC000-120.07000011:05
19J. SpezzaC000-100.051004310:09
47P. EngvallL000000.00402—10:08
72T. BoydC000-100.1301010009:50
26J. VeseyL000000.00000—09:40
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)35332.9432.31+0.3160:00

Season series

TOR leads 7-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).