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Maple Leafs at Canadiens
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Anderson's goal at 16:22 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were TOR 25, MTL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.6 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Josh Anderson (1 G), 2. Paul Byron (2 A), 3. Tomas Tatar (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Anderson1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    P. Byron2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    T. Tatar2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR0321309225
MTLMTL2111717425

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    T. Tatar(9)
    P. Byron (9), P. Danault (17)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:17
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(8)PPG
    S. Weber (13), J. Drouin (20)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    7:53

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(32)
    M. Marner (39), M. Rielly (25)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    9:28
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(13)
    I. Mikheyev (9), Z. Hyman (17)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    14:57
  3. MTL
    J. Anderson(15)
    B. Kulak (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:22

3rd period

  1. MTL
    T. Tatar(10)EN
    P. Byron (10), J. Petry (19)
    backhandxG 0.47win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    17:35

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:33TORZach Bogosian · High stickingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 9:58TORserved by J. Tavares · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 12:04MTLPhillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

3rd

  • 7:21MTLJonathan Drouin · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTOR goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Anderson, 2nd 16:22 — MTL 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.48T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.47J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.21N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.16P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.16T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.15J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.15E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.14C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.13P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.12N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.09J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.03E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.03J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsMTL
1.92 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR40%60%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsMTL
25
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
33
Hits
32
13
Blocked shots
18
9
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD011020.10210—24:30
34A. MatthewsC101-130.312005823:55
8J. MuzzinD000-120.09320—22:32
16M. MarnerR011-150.35100—22:27
3J. HollD000-110.06140—22:21
11Z. HymanL011-140.31110—20:05
91J. TavaresC101-120.350103119:35
78T. BrodieD000010.00220—19:08
12A. GalchenyukC000010.14100015:24
65I. MikheyevR011000.00100—15:11
15A. KerfootC000000.003007514:34
22Z. BogosianD000+100.01212—14:04
19J. SpezzaC000020.180005714:03
97J. ThorntonC000-100.0060010013:44
23T. DermottD000010.01000—11:27
24W. SimmondsR000000.00500—11:09
89N. RobertsonL000010.03210—08:11
47P. EngvallL000000.0010010006:34
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)24213.8752.43-0.5757:48

Season series

TOR leads 7-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).