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Canucks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 14:04 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were VAN 28, TOR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 0.6 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G), 2. Wayne Simmonds (2 G), 3. Mitch Marner (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Simmonds2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Marner3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN07010111128
TORTOR21111228531

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    W. Simmonds(4)PPG
    M. Marner (12), M. Rielly (9)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    4:42
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(9)
    M. Marner (13), Z. Hyman (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:04

2nd period

  1. TOR
    Z. Hyman(3)
    M. Lehtonen (2), M. Marner (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    7:36

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    1:28
  2. TOR
    W. Simmonds(5)
    M. Lehtonen (3), J. Tavares (7)
    tip-inxG 0.06
    0-5
    3:16
  3. VAN
    B. Boeser(9)PPG
    Q. Hughes (15), E. Pettersson (6)
    tip-inxG 0.10
    1-5
    17:56

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·TOR 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:19VANAlexander Edler · Slashingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 5:03VANAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 15:42TORZach Hyman · High stickingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min

2nd

  • 12:02VANTyler Myers · Elbowingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

3rd

  • 6:18TORJake Muzzin · Slashingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 10:15VANTyler Motte · Slashingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 12:34TORZach Bogosian · Slashingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 16:21TORJake Muzzin · Hookingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalVAN goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 1st 14:04 — TOR 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.26J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.20M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.17W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.16T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.16W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.16A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.16A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.15A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.14J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.14A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.13M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.13J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.13M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.13A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.12W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.12J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.12T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.11M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09N. Petan · Missed · xG 0.09J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.07I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.07M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.06W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.06W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01
TOR5 G · 4.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsTOR
1.81 G
All situations
5 G4.4
1.20 G
Even strength
4 G3.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN14%86%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 4.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsTOR
28
Shots on goal
31
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
21
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD000010.02112—26:10
88N. SchmidtD000030.13010—21:06
43Q. HughesD011-220.09100—20:51
40E. PetterssonC011-110.211006718:53
9J. MillerC000-100.05110018:49
6B. BoeserR101020.17010—18:22
53B. HorvatC000-210.241004318:09
64T. MotteC000-110.06702017:17
23A. EdlerD000-210.01204—16:22
8J. BennD000000.00130—16:16
20B. SutterC000020.041005515:15
36N. HoglanderL000-120.09100—14:35
83J. BeagleC000-110.201104714:05
70T. PearsonL000-330.19200—13:57
63J. ChatfieldD000-420.07110—13:23
26A. RousselL000020.04210—13:22
21L. ErikssonL000-220.06100—09:16
95J. BaileyR000020.11100—06:32
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49B. Holtby(L)31265.8394.38-0.6259:57

Season series

TOR leads 5-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).