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Canucks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
FinalTV TVAS, SNO·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 9:22 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were VAN 32, TOR 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.0 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (31 saves, .969), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G), 3. Elias Pettersson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    F. Andersen31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN01311405132
TORTOR1403212319

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:38

2nd period

  1. VAN
    E. Pettersson(5)PPG
    Q. Hughes (16), B. Boeser (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:59

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(11)
    M. Marner (15), R. Sandin (1)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +31 pts
    1-2
    9:22
  2. TOR
    A. Kerfoot(2)
    I. Mikheyev (3)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    9:33

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·TOR 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:47TORJustin Holl · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 9:03TORAuston Matthews · Interferencedrawn by Olli Juolevi2 min
  • 12:35VANTanner Pearson · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 17:31TORMorgan Rielly · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 4:48VANAntoine Roussel · Cross checkingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 15:34TORAlexander Barabanov · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalVAN goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 3rd 9:22 — TOR 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.87J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.23A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.20W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.15W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.13M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.10T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.10M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.10I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.09I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rielly · Goal · xG 0.04T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01
TOR3 G · 2.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsTOR
2.31 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN55%45%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsTOR
32
Shots on goal
19
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
21
8
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-130.16200—24:11
9J. MillerC000020.223002522:18
88N. SchmidtD000-120.10010—22:18
40E. PetterssonC101030.150005720:31
23A. EdlerD000-210.04730—20:23
53B. HorvatC000-120.224105620:15
57T. MyersD000-200.02010—20:08
6B. BoeserR011000.00000—18:59
70T. PearsonL000-130.22102—18:16
36N. HoglanderL000-110.16010—14:56
8J. BennD000010.03010—14:13
20B. SutterC000-110.052004513:33
83J. BeagleC000-120.112005712:36
48O. JuoleviD000020.07100—12:28
18J. VirtanenR000-120.14300—12:09
26A. RousselL000-100.00302—11:19
96A. GaudetteR000-150.46200—11:04
95J. BaileyR000-120.15100—09:32
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49B. Holtby(L)19163.8422.03-0.9756:51

Season series

TOR leads 5-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).