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Maple Leafs at Canucks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
Vancouver Canucks
▸3
FinalTV SNP, TSN4·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Virtanen's goal at 11:29 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 56% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were TOR 32, VAN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Michael Hutchinson stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.3 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Virtanen (2 G), 2. Thatcher Demko (31 saves, .969), 3. Bo Horvat (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Virtanen2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Demko31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR11501007132
VANVAN1711219328

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    J. Virtanen(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:59
  2. TOR
    P. Engvall(2)
    I. Mikheyev (5)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    17:15

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. Virtanen(3)PPG
    A. Gaudette (3), T. Myers (10)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    11:29

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(10)
    A. Edler (5), N. Schmidt (5)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    7:56

Penalties

TOR 2 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:58VANAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

2nd

  • 10:15TORJustin Holl · Trippingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 14:07VANJay Beagle · Hookingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalTOR goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Virtanen, 2nd 11:29 — VAN 56% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Virtanen · Goal · xG 0.18J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.17B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.16B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.09T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.06M. Michaelis · Missed · xG 0.05J. Virtanen · Goal · xG 0.05M. Michaelis · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 1.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsVAN
3.01 G
All situations
3 G1.7
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR73%27%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 1.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsVAN
32
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000020.06210—26:00
34A. MatthewsC000-250.300204723:22
16M. MarnerR000-210.37100—23:11
91J. TavaresC000030.490004321:20
78T. BrodieD000000.00140—21:20
8J. MuzzinD000020.09110—21:05
3J. HollD000000.06012—20:00
11Z. HymanL000-130.22100—18:54
88W. NylanderR000050.36000—16:59
15A. KerfootC000000.00300016:49
19J. SpezzaC000020.161008015:20
22Z. BogosianD000-100.00110—13:40
97J. ThorntonC000-110.07000011:57
23T. DermottD000-110.01110—11:32
65I. MikheyevR011+130.46300—11:04
47P. EngvallL101+130.222202510:50
26J. VeseyL000+110.14100—09:55
61N. PetanC000000.00000007:58
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Hutchinson(L)28253.8931.69-1.3157:30

Season series

TOR leads 5-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).