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Maple Leafs at Canucks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Vancouver Canucks
▸4
FinalTV NHLN, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 9:31 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were TOR 39, VAN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.8 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (1 G, 2 A), 2. Bo Horvat (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR115111013239
VANVAN1901438431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(13)PPG
    J. Miller (16), B. Horvat (8)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    4:39
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(8)
    A. Kerfoot (8), J. Holl (8)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:56

2nd period

  1. TOR
    J. Vesey(5)
    T. Brodie (8), J. Spezza (11)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:04

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(11)PPG
    B. Boeser (14), J. Miller (17)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +26 pts
    2-2
    8:49
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(7)
    B. Boeser (15), A. Edler (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +31 pts
    2-3
    9:31
  3. VAN
    N. Hoglander(5)
    N. Schmidt (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    16:53

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·VAN 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:12TORAuston Matthews · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min

2nd

  • 6:13VANAntoine Roussel · Cross checkingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min

3rd

  • 7:15TORWilliam Nylander · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalTOR goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, 3rd 9:31 — VAN 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.35B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.16J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.15N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.14B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.08J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · Goal · xG 0.03J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsVAN
2.72 G
All situations
4 G2.2
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR57%43%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsVAN
39
Shots on goal
31
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
22
4
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000010.03110—25:05
78T. BrodieD011020.05030—23:11
16M. MarnerR000-250.31010—21:31
34A. MatthewsC000030.341025821:27
3J. HollD011010.01110—19:49
8J. MuzzinD000020.04010—19:26
91J. TavaresC101020.090304118:18
88W. NylanderR000+160.50002—16:45
15A. KerfootC011+110.13200016:37
11Z. HymanL000-140.34100—16:23
23T. DermottD000010.01200—15:46
97J. ThorntonC000-110.07100014:41
22Z. BogosianD000010.02310—14:33
65I. MikheyevR000040.19110—13:56
47P. EngvallL000-110.020004413:25
19J. SpezzaC011+120.180003610:22
72T. BoydC000+110.03100009:21
26J. VeseyL101+110.32020—09:03
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)31274.8712.25-1.7558:20

Season series

TOR leads 5-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).