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Red Wings at Lightning
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-D·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Cirelli's goal at 3:57 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 65% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.2 to 1.3; shots on goal were DET 16, TBL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.5 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 15 of 16 (.938). Three stars: 1. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Blake Coleman (2 A), 3. Alex Killorn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Coleman2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Killorn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET071702116
TBLTBL3921008527

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(3)
    T. Johnson (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:34
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(2)
    L. Schenn (1), V. Hedman (7)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    3:57
  3. TBL
    R. McDonagh(1)
    B. Coleman (2), B. Goodrow (4)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-3
    4:54

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(4)
    S. Stamkos (6), O. Palat (2)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    7:25
  2. DET
    A. Mantha(4)
    C. Djoos (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    9:49
  3. TBL
    A. Killorn(2)
    M. Sergachev (5), B. Coleman (3)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    11:32

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:22DETAnthony Mantha · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 2:47TBLOndrej Palat · Trippingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 13:08TBLBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 20:00DETSam Gagner · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

2nd

  • 4:09TBLPatrick Maroon · Slashingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 12:09DETValtteri Filppula · Trippingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 16:15TBLLuke Schenn · Holdingdrawn by Frans Nielsen2 min

3rd

  • 2:52DETAnthony Mantha · Interferencedrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDET goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Cirelli, 1st 3:57 — TBL 65% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Point · Goal · xG 0.22R. McDonagh · Goal · xG 0.17T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.13A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.13B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.10L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.09V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.08J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.07B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.05T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.04M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Point · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.02J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTBL
1.31 G
All situations
5 G2.2
1.01 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET32%68%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.27 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTBL
16
Shots on goal
27
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
10
1
Giveaways
4
0
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000-200.06100—22:12
24J. MerrillD000000.02020—22:10
22P. NemethD000-120.03010—20:13
18M. StaalD000-210.01100—19:15
44C. DjoosD011-110.05110—16:57
89S. GagnerC000000.080123316:16
70T. StecherD000-210.04020—16:13
71D. LarkinC000-300.000005716:07
92V. NamestnikovC000+110.010103316:01
54B. RyanR000-300.10110—15:59
14R. FabbriC000-220.17120015:12
41L. GlendeningC000-110.111106714:48
39A. ManthaR101020.10004—14:29
43D. HelmC000-100.04300014:12
81F. NielsenC000-210.151005014:02
67T. HiroseL000010.04000—13:40
51V. FilppulaC000010.111025013:14
73A. ErneL000020.16400—11:41
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Pickard21192.9051.49-0.5154:08
29T. Greiss(L)633.5000.67-2.3305:36

Season series

TBL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).