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Red Wings at Lightning
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
FinalTV NBC·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Valtteri Filppula's goal at 16:05 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals were close — DET 1.7, TBL 1.5; shots on goal were DET 18, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 27 of 28 (.964); Christopher Gibson stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Thomas Greiss (27 saves, .964), 2. Luke Glendening (2 A), 3. Anthony Mantha (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    T. Greiss27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    DET
    L. Glendening2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. Mantha2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET153914518
TBLTBL0708113128

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(7)PPG
    A. Erne (5), F. Hronek (20)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    19:47

2nd period

  1. DET
    V. Filppula(3)
    L. Glendening (7), V. Namestnikov (6)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    16:05
  2. DET
    M. Rasmussen(2)
    C. Djoos (7), A. Mantha (9)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    16:34
  3. DET
    M. Staal(3)
    A. Mantha (10)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    18:58

3rd period

  1. TBL
    V. Hedman(7)
    S. Stamkos (17), C. Foote (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    4:12
  2. DET
    D. Helm(2)EN
    L. Glendening (8), V. Namestnikov (7)
    wristxG 0.34
    5-1
    14:19

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:42DETFilip Hronek · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 18:45TBLLuke Schenn · Slashingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

3rd

  • 11:20TBLSteven Stamkos · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Thomas Greiss2 min
  • 14:50DETDanny DeKeyser · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 17:05DETDanny DeKeyser · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDET goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Valtteri Filppula, 2nd 16:05 — DET 69% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.08M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.08O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.08T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.07O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.07O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.06T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04B. Point · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01B. Point · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.01C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01C. Foote · On goal · xG 0.01B. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL1 G · 1.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTBL
1.74 G
All situations
1 G1.5
1.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET48%52%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.37 – 1.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTBL
18
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
21
18
Blocked shots
9
1
Giveaways
0
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011020.04102—22:13
18M. StaalD101+210.01030—20:52
24J. MerrillD000000.01040—20:15
71D. LarkinC101030.351006018:47
11F. ZadinaR000010.01000—18:42
39A. ManthaR022+210.1721010017:29
41L. GlendeningC022+320.162205616:48
92V. NamestnikovC022+210.08230016:38
65D. DeKeyserD000000.00104—16:31
70T. StecherD000+200.07100—16:20
27M. RasmussenC101+220.155005015:40
73A. ErneL011-100.0010010014:56
51V. FilppulaC101+110.180006714:48
48G. SmithR000+110.01110—14:25
43D. HelmC101020.45110014:12
22P. NemethD000+200.00530—13:01
81F. NielsenC000-100.00100012:53
44C. DjoosD011010.01000—09:30
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss(W)28271.9641.47+0.4760:00

Season series

TBL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).