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Lightning at Red Wings
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸2
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV NBC·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Zadina's goal at 13:37 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 15% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were TBL 42, DET 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Christopher Gibson stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mikhail Sergachev (1 G), 2. Jonathan Bernier (40 saves, .952), 3. Christopher Gibson (22 saves, .957).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    M. Sergachev1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Bernier40 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    C. Gibson22 saves, .957

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL11911706242
DETDET061908123

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Coleman(13)
    B. Goodrow (11)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:16

2nd period

  1. TBL
    M. Sergachev(3)
    Y. Gourde (17), B. Coleman (16)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:09
  2. DET
    F. Zadina(6)
    V. Namestnikov (9), A. Erne (9)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    13:37

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·DET 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:42TBLLuke Schenn · Holdingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 9:07DETJoseph Veleno · Hookingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

3rd

  • 8:51DETDennis Cholowski · Holding the stickdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 12:16TBLTyler Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 14:06TBLAlex Killorn · Interferencedrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 14:06TBLBarclay Goodrow · Delaying game face off violation2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalTBL goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Filip Zadina, 2nd 13:37 — DET 15% → 32%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Zadina · Goal · xG 0.13L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.12R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.10F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.10F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.09J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.09F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.09F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.09L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.06J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.06J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.04A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.04M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.02A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.00V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 1.6 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsDET
3.72 G
All situations
1 G1.6
3.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL84%16%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.70 – 1.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsDET
42
Shots on goal
23
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
11
12
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
11
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000020.08160—23:49
77V. HedmanD000010.01020—23:09
81E. CernakD000010.03300—22:54
58D. SavardD000030.16120—19:59
71A. CirelliC000010.080002018:54
17A. KillornL000030.25102—18:28
18O. PalatL000020.12110—18:20
21B. PointC000010.010004217:52
98M. SergachevD101+120.08000—17:23
19B. GoodrowC011+220.221028015:41
20B. ColemanL112+270.74200—15:04
37Y. GourdeC011+220.250006914:26
60A. Barré-BouletC000020.46100014:03
9T. JohnsonC000030.220023313:41
14P. MaroonL000-130.37000—12:10
79R. ColtonC000-120.190005010:03
2L. SchennD000+130.05102—08:58
7M. JosephR000-120.43110—08:41
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Gibson(W)23221.9571.57+0.5758:35

Season series

TBL leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).