Skip to content
Stars at Predators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸3
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV FS-SW+, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Nashville Predators 3-1. The Predators scored first; the Stars answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Comeau's goal at 15:47 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 48% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were DAL 26, NSH 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Comeau (1 G), 2. Tyler Seguin (1 G), 3. Mattias Janmark (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    B. Comeau1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Janmark1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL14011211326
NSHNSH113011015139

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(9)
    R. Hartman (8), C. Sissons (13)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:35
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(21)
    A. Radulov (28), E. Lindell (15)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:11

3rd period

  1. DAL
    B. Comeau(6)
    M. Janmark (14), R. Faksa (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +42 pts
    2-1
    15:47
  2. DAL
    M. Janmark(4)
    R. Faksa (11), E. Lindell (16)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    16:30

Penalties

DAL 13 PIM·NSH 9 PIM

1st

  • 18:58DALBlake Comeau · Roughingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min

2nd

  • 6:37NSHP.K. Subban · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 10:48DALEsa Lindell · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Hartman5 min
  • 10:48NSHRyan Hartman · Fightingdrawn by Esa Lindell5 min
  • 12:09DALMattias Janmark · Holding the stickdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

3rd

  • 7:40NSHRoman Josi · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:46DALJohn Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 11:31DALJamie Benn · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDAL goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Blake Comeau, 3rd 15:47 — DAL 48% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.26R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.18C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.16F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.13V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.06P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.00P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 2.3 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNSH
1.93 G
All situations
1 G2.3
1.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL35%65%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNSH
26
Shots on goal
39
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
9
19
Hits
12
16
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000010.01000—27:04
3J. KlingbergD000+220.11032—24:51
45R. PolakD000+120.05040—24:28
23E. LindellD022+300.00215—20:39
47A. RadulovR011+250.16100—20:14
91T. SeguinC101+120.370105220:10
13M. JanmarkC112+330.32002019:12
14J. BennL000000.193223817:04
12R. FaksaC022+210.011203316:57
15B. ComeauL101+120.17302—16:23
17A. CoglianoC000-120.06300014:00
90J. SpezzaC000-110.262004611:16
42T. FedunD000-100.00000—10:51
24R. HintzC000000.000104310:48
2J. OleksiakD000-110.03200—10:41
25B. RitchieR000040.14110—09:49
43V. NichushkinR000-100.00000—09:08
34D. GurianovR000000.0011010008:25
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)39381.9742.29+1.2960:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).