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Stars at Predators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸2
Nashville Predators
0
FinalTV FS-SW, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Nashville Predators 2-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Janmark's goal at 11:09 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were DAL 30, NSH 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 49 of 49 (1.000), 3.2 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Anton Khudobin (49 saves, 1.000), 2. Tyler Pitlick (1 G), 3. Mattias Janmark (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin49 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Pitlick1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Janmark1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL11316011230
NSHNSH012019018049

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Pitlick(5)
    R. Faksa (6), E. Lindell (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:20

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Janmark(3)
    D. Shore (12)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    11:09

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:40NSHKyle Turris · Holdingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

2nd

  • 15:32DALTyler Pitlick · Holdingdrawn by Matt Irwin2 min

3rd

  • 9:17NSHP.K. Subban · Interferencedrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 12:30DALserved by B. Ritchie · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:11DALTyler Pitlick · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 19:40NSHCalle Jarnkrok · Interferencedrawn by Blake Comeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDAL goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Mattias Janmark, 2nd 11:09 — DAL 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.18A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.18C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.16C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.15N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.13C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.12K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.08R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.06A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.04A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02R. Grimaldi · Missed · xG 0.02A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH0 G · 3.2 xG · 71 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNSH
1.72 G
All situations
0 G3.2
1.42 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 112 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL24%76%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNSH
30
Shots on goal
49
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
17
18
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD011+220.02320—26:13
45R. PolakD000020.11100—25:50
3J. KlingbergD000+210.05010—21:40
91T. SeguinC000030.190104020:56
12R. FaksaC011+100.041005320:34
14J. BennL000000.000105820:15
4M. HeiskanenD000040.16000—19:49
47A. RadulovR000030.24130—18:28
15B. ComeauL000+110.09600—17:38
18T. PitlickC101+170.34304013:40
44G. BayreutherD000000.00010—12:46
17D. ShoreC011+100.002208012:27
13M. JanmarkC101+150.37010012:24
90J. SpezzaC000+100.000203812:21
42T. FedunD000010.01020—11:00
43V. NichushkinR000000.000205010:28
34D. GurianovR000010.04200—10:24
25B. RitchieR000000.00300—08:18
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)494901.0003.21+3.2160:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).