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Predators at Jets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
0
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·MTS Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 8:16 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were NSH 29, WPG 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G, 1 A), 2. Pekka Rinne (34 saves, 1.000), 3. Viktor Arvidsson (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne34 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH11017212429
WPGWPG01009015034

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(4)
    R. Josi (3), R. Johansen (7)
    deflectedxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:02

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(6)
    C. Smith (2), R. Johansen (8)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    8:16

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(7)
    V. Arvidsson (4), R. Josi (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    3-0
    5:55
  2. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(5)EN
    F. Forsberg (8)
    backhandxG 0.93
    4-0
    15:58

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:54NSHMattias Ekholm · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:58NSHAustin Watson · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 17:26NSHYannick Weber · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

3rd

  • 2:39NSHP.K. Subban · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 15:58WPGDustin Byfuglien · Roughingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNSH goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 2nd 8:16 — NSH 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.30K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.14J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.13P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.12P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.12J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.08B. Little · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.07T. Enstrom · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02T. Enstrom · On goal · xG 0.02T. Enstrom · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG0 G · 2.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsWPG
3.23 G
All situations
0 G2.9
2.13 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH40%60%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsWPG
29
Shots on goal
34
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
16
23
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
5
8
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000+110.03002—25:22
76P. SubbanD000+210.02032—24:43
59R. JosiD022+330.03040—24:00
4R. EllisD000+210.06230—23:41
13N. BoninoC000030.341303720:57
10C. SissonsC000020.051103819:31
51A. WatsonL000010.15322—18:47
9F. ForsbergL213+450.65020—16:17
92R. JohansenC022+420.171005714:49
8K. TurrisC000020.182103613:52
22K. FialaL000010.19030—13:45
33V. ArvidssonL213+441.08100—13:40
15C. SmithC011010.11000013:24
19C. JarnkrokC000010.07010013:06
52M. IrwinD000010.11200—11:59
7Y. WeberD000000.01102—11:12
17S. HartnellL000000.003005009:57
12M. FisherC000000.00100002:58
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)343401.0002.93+2.9360:00

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).