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Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Stastny's goal at 9:01 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 65% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.9 to 3.3; shots on goal were WPG 19, NSH 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 47 of 48 (.979), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (47 saves, .979), 2. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 3. Kevin Fiala (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck47 saves, .979
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    K. Fiala1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1421213419
NSHNSH020016112148

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Tanev(2)
    B. Little (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:51

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Stastny(2)
    P. Laine (3), N. Ehlers (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    9:01
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(5)
    B. Wheeler (4), K. Connor (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    17:51

3rd period

  1. NSH
    K. Fiala(2)
    K. Turris (2), R. Ellis (4)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    1:23
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(6)EN
    B. Wheeler (5)
    wristxG 0.92
    4-1
    19:24

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·NSH 0 PIM

1st

  • 7:43WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 0:58WPGToby Enstrom · Trippingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 15:38WPGBlake Wheeler · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Pekka Rinne2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Paul Stastny, 2nd 9:01 — WPG 65% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.19K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.18F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.16C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.16N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.16R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.14M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.14C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.14R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.13P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.12C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.11R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.09R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.08K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.07R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.07R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.06P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.06M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fisher · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 3.9 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
3.33 G
All situations
1 G3.9
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G3.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG26%74%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 3.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
19
Shots on goal
48
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/0
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
22
Hits
29
26
Blocked shots
7
11
Giveaways
13
15
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000+110.19620—25:36
8J. TroubaD000+130.23050—21:13
44J. MorrisseyD000000.00030—20:20
55M. ScheifeleC202+231.311104019:55
57T. MyersD000+300.02040—19:34
39T. EnstromD000-100.00022—18:05
81K. ConnorL011+110.19000—18:03
17A. LowryC000010.022102016:58
26B. WheelerR022+220.22212—16:52
13B. TanevL101030.16130—16:40
7B. ChiarotD000+200.00340—15:17
18B. LittleC011000.00200014:51
29P. LaineL011+120.29000—13:57
25P. StastnyC101+120.511003613:04
27N. EhlersL011+100.01002—12:47
9A. CoppC000+100.081004510:59
15M. HendricksC000010.02200010:43
52J. RoslovicC000000.00100009:06
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)48471.9793.88+2.8860:00

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).