Skip to content
Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸6
Nashville Predators
2
FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Nashville Predators 6-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 12:30 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals were close — WPG 2.9, NSH 3.1; shots on goal were WPG 32, NSH 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 20 of 26 (.769), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 1 A), 3. Blake Wheeler (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG07415210632
NSHNSH01129020240

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Stastny(4)
    P. Laine (6), N. Ehlers (4)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    7:44
  2. NSH
    Y. Weber(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    11:08
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(1)
    B. Wheeler (8), M. Scheifele (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:30
  4. WPG
    D. Byfuglien(4)
    B. Tanev (1), A. Lowry (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    14:35
  5. WPG
    K. Connor(2)
    B. Wheeler (9), D. Byfuglien (8)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    17:01
  6. NSH
    R. Johansen(5)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    17:59

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(9)
    K. Connor (4), B. Wheeler (10)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    5-2
    0:28
  2. WPG
    M. Perreault(1)PPG
    N. Ehlers (5)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    6:23

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

2nd

  • 17:23NSHViktor Arvidsson · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

3rd

  • 2:52WPGJosh Morrissey · Holding the stickdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 5:45NSHRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 9:55NSHMattias Ekholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 12:30 — WPG 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.27R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.20K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.16F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.14M. Fisher · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Weber · Goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.11C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.10K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.06K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04M. Salomaki · Missed · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Salomaki · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
2.96 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.35 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG46%54%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
40
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
21
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD112+130.14210—21:54
8J. TroubaD000+320.05430—21:38
57T. MyersD000010.05010—20:32
44J. MorrisseyD000+200.00232—20:27
55M. ScheifeleC112+230.200203518:56
81K. ConnorL213+360.84000—18:43
26B. WheelerR033+210.09010—17:21
7B. ChiarotD000020.05530—16:49
13B. TanevL011030.04300—16:45
39T. EnstromD000+110.01010—15:30
17A. LowryC011020.312003115:26
9A. CoppC000020.213005015:22
27N. EhlersL022+100.0100010014:52
25P. StastnyC101010.131005013:48
18B. LittleC000000.000004713:29
29P. LaineL011000.16210—13:12
85M. PerreaultC101020.30100012:46
40J. ArmiaR000030.28200—10:30
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)40382.9503.10+1.1060:00

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).