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Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
4
Nashville Predators
▸5
Final/2OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-4 in double overtime, Kevin Fiala scoring at 5:37. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 5:37 of the second overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.6 to 4.0; shots on goal were WPG 50, NSH 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 36 of 41 (.878); Pekka Rinne stopped 46 of 50 (.920). Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G), 2. Ryan Johansen (2 G), 3. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    K. Fiala1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Johansen2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
WPGWPG2901321401202450
NSHNSH19291701313541

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(3)
    F. Forsberg (3), P. Subban (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:27
  2. WPG
    D. Byfuglien(1)
    M. Scheifele (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    12:47
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(7)PPG
    P. Stastny (4), P. Laine (4)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    13:16

2nd period

  1. NSH
    P. Subban(1)PPG
    F. Forsberg (4), V. Arvidsson (2)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    5:04
  2. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(3)
    F. Forsberg (5), R. Ellis (5)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    18:41

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Tanev(3)
    B. Little (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    5:11
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(4)
    V. Arvidsson (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +27 pts
    3-4
    5:45
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(8)
    B. Wheeler (6), D. Byfuglien (6)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +43 pts
    4-4
    18:55

2OT overtime

  1. NSH
    K. Fiala(3)
    C. Smith (1), K. Turris (3)
    backhandxG 0.39win prob +48 pts
    4-5
    5:37

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:08WPGMatt Hendricks · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Pekka Rinne2 min
  • 10:00NSHRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 10:52WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 12:33NSHViktor Arvidsson · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

2nd

  • 4:01WPGBryan Little · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 7:46NSHMattias Ekholm · Slashingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 13:46WPGMatt Hendricks · Interferencedrawn by Matt Irwin2 min
  • 20:00WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
  • 20:00NSHRyan Ellis · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 20:00NSHNick Bonino · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 2OT 5:37 — NSH 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.39V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.27N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.21A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.21F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.17A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.17R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.17V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.15F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.13N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.12R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.12M. Fisher · Missed · xG 0.11V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.09C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.08P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08P. Subban · Goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.07M. Fisher · Missed · xG 0.07C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. Fisher · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05M. Fisher · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.04R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.02K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 4.6 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
4.04 G
All situations
5 G4.6
3.33 G
Even strength
4 G3.7
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 132 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG43%57%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.04 – 4.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
50
Shots on goal
41
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/4
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
26
30
Blocked shots
26
16
Giveaways
21
10
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD112060.40140—35:27
8J. TroubaD000020.05250—31:23
44J. MorrisseyD000+150.45260—30:27
25P. StastnyC011+210.072203328:18
55M. ScheifeleC213020.531224228:11
29P. LaineL011070.571105027:58
26B. WheelerR011-140.29212—27:00
39T. EnstromD000-220.07110—25:56
27N. EhlersL000+130.18120—25:43
57T. MyersD000-130.09100—24:51
81K. ConnorL000-340.61200—23:11
18B. LittleC011+120.120124321:30
13B. TanevL101030.13120—21:02
17A. LowryC000010.252104020:43
7B. ChiarotD000-130.09120—17:49
9A. CoppC000-110.101002011:47
52J. RoslovicC000-100.00000010:56
15M. HendricksC000010.05204009:37
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)41365.8784.59-0.4184:50

Series

WPG leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).