North Carolina
ACC · 24-8 · AdjEM +15.8, 28 of 364 nationally.
2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet
Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06
Every team →- AdjEM
- +15.828 of 364
- AdjO
- 115.249 of 364
- AdjD
- 99.333 of 364
- AdjT
- 70.6157 of 364
North Carolina went from +4.2 (#61) on 2025-11-10 to +15.8 (#28) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +17.4 (#25) on 2026-02-09.
AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).
Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games
Leaderboards →- eFG%
- 54.6%50
- TOV%
- 13.4%34
- OREB%
- 101.8%152
- FTA/FGA
- 37.8%107
- Opp eFG%
- 48.3%42
- Opp TOV%
- 12.5%344
- DREB%
- 6.0%188
- Opp FTA/FGA
- 23.4%3
Games24-8
“Ours” is our projected margin for North Carolina, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.
How this is measured
Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.
Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.