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NC State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

ACC · 20-12 · AdjEM +14.9, 36 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+14.936 of 364
AdjO
118.518 of 364
AdjD
103.696 of 364
AdjT
71.496 of 364

NC State went from +7.5 (#17) on 2025-11-10 to +14.9 (#36) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +18.7 (#20) on 2026-02-02.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
55.2%36
TOV%
12.5%14
OREB%
60.3%330
FTA/FGA
35.1%176
Opp eFG%
52.7%254
Opp TOV%
17.2%76
DREB%
40.2%21
Opp FTA/FGA
37.7%250

Games20-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for NC State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsNorth Carolina CentralW 114-65—
11-07vsUABW 94-70—
11-12vsUNC GreensboroW 110-64+23.3
11-17vsVCUW 85-79+18.9
11-24vsSeton HallL 74-85+13.5
11-25@Boise StateW 81-70-3.5
11-26@TexasL 97-102-6.2
12-03@AuburnL 73-83-5.7
12-06vsUNC AshevilleW 75-63+15.8
12-10vsLibertyW 85-45+9.3
12-13vsKansasL 76-77+4.0
12-17vsTexas SouthernW 108-72+25.5
12-21vsOle MissW 76-62+11.9
12-31vsWake ForestW 70-57+8.8
01-03vsVirginiaL 61-76+4.9
01-06@Boston CollegeW 79-71+4.3
01-10@Florida StateW 113-69+1.7
01-17vsGeorgia TechL 74-78+15.7
01-20@ClemsonW 80-76-5.1
01-24@PittsburghW 81-72+3.6
01-27vsSyracuseW 88-68+11.6
01-31@Wake ForestW 96-78+0.9
02-03@SMUW 84-83-0.7
02-07vsVirginia TechW 82-73+9.9
02-09@LouisvilleL 77-118-5.2
02-14vsMiami (OH)—+6.7
02-17vsNorth CarolinaW 82-58+3.9
02-24@VirginiaL 61-90-5.0
02-28@Notre DameL 90-96+6.0
03-02vsDukeL 64-93-5.2
03-07vsStanfordL 84-85+8.6
03-11vsPittsburghW 98-88+12.1
03-17vsTexasL 66-68+5.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.