John Carlson vs Noah Warren
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DJohn CarlsonChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Ducks · DNoah WarrenChange second player
Ducks skaters
- Beckett Sennecke
- Cutter Gauthier
- Mikael Granlund
- A.J. Greer
- Ryan Poehling
- Leo Carlsson
- Jackson LaCombe
- Alex Killorn
- Tristan Luneau
- Jeff Malott
- Tim Washe
- Travis Mitchell
- Pavel Mintyukov
- Nikita Nesterenko
- Tyson Hinds
- Judd Caulfield
- Sam Colangelo
- Noah Warren
- Frank Vatrano
- Nikita Klepov
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
John Carlson is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: John Carlson sits in the 73rd percentile, Noah Warren the 15th.
| Measure | Carlson | Warren |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 20:42 | 14:16 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0942 pct | 0.001 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.073 pct | 1.015 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.329 pct | 0.063 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.1%71 pct | 65.0%87 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.3852 pct | 1.3711 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6580 pct | 0.7499 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3273 pct | +0.0441 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1560 pct | −0.0234 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1679 pct | +0.0656 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →