Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes
TV CARNHL, HHN·Lenovo Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
29%Canucks
to win
71%
Hurricanes
- Expected goals
- 2.3–3.7
- Goes to overtime
- 19%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.439vs.542win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR-.225vs.1625v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.089vs-.096GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR-1.04vs.8605v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CARCAR at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · CAR Rod Brind'Amour
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.5630th
- Goals for / game
- 2nd3.55
- 3.8332nd
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 21.8%14th
- Power play
- 4th24.9%
- 71.5%32nd
- Penalty kill
- 11th80.5%
- 49.3%22nd
- Faceoffs
- 16th50.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).