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Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars

Philadelphia Eagles
Jacksonville Jaguars
· NFL Net· Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Market

Book
+1.5
o45.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Jacksonville Jaguars is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
-3.2
Jaguars
Win prob
60%
Jaguars
Likely range
-13 to 20
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1703 − 1579 = +5.0 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
+3.2 pts
Neutral site
none
Projected margin
+3.2 Jaguars

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Eagles
Away
Our rating
1579#11
FPI rank
#92026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Jaguars
Neutral
Our rating
1703#3
FPI rank
#152026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last 2 meetings

Jaguars 0–2
  • 2024 wk 9Jaguars at Eagles2328Eagles
  • 2022 wk 4Jaguars at Eagles2129Eagles

From the 2022 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

PHI @ JAX
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