NFL

• Colts1-2

  atCommanders1-2

  Sun, Oct 4, 9:30a

  IND 59%

• Patriots1-2

  atBills3-0

  Sun, Oct 4, 1:00p

  BUF 61%

• Jets1-2

  atBears2-1

  Sun, Oct 4, 1:00p

  CHI 70%

• Jaguars2-1

  atBengals2-1

  Sun, Oct 4, 1:00p

  JAX 62%

• Cardinals1-2

  atGiants2-1

  Sun, Oct 4, 1:00p

  NYG 67%

• Rams1-2

  atEagles2-1

  Sun, Oct 4, 1:00p

  LAR 54%

• Packers1-2

  atBuccaneers0-3

  Sun, Oct 4, 1:00p

  GB 53%

• Titans0-3

  atRavens2-1

  Sun, Oct 4, 1:00p

  BAL 80%

• Cowboys1-2

  atTexans0-3

  Sun, Oct 4, 1:00p

  HOU 60%

• Dolphins0-3

  atVikings3-0

  Sun, Oct 4, 4:05p

  MIN 85%

• Chiefs3-0

  atRaiders3-0

  Sun, Oct 4, 4:25p

  KC 57%

• Broncos2-1

  at49ers3-0

  Sun, Oct 4, 4:25p

  SF 70%

• Chargers0-3

  atSeahawks2-1

  Sun, Oct 4, 4:25p

  SEA 78%

• Lions2-1

  atPanthers1-2

  Sun, Oct 4, 8:20p

  DET 51%

• Falcons1-2

  atSaints1-2

  Mon, Oct 5, 8:15p

  NO 60%

• Steelers2-224

  atBrowns3-127

  Final

Jacksonville Jaguars win the Super Bowl in 19% of simulated seasons and make the playoffs in 95%. Los Angeles Rams are 1-2 but make it 54% of the time — their scoring margin rates them better than their record.

Team	Playoffs	Bye	Super Bowl
Jaguars	95%	29%	19%
49ers	93%	34%	14%
Seahawks	87%	20%	13%
Bills	94%	29%	12%
Chiefs	90%	21%	8%
Vikings	89%	24%	7%
Bears	71%	8%	5%
Rams	54%	3%	3%

San Francisco 49ers have the best margin, +16.0 points a game; Buffalo Bills score the most (33.7); Jacksonville Jaguars allow the fewest (12.0).

Points scored per game across, points allowed per game up the side — the allowed axis is inverted, so the best clubs sit top right. Raw per-game averages, not adjusted for schedule.